Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050

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96 Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050 World Energy Council 2007 Appendices deployment is equally important and lays down the essential basis for realising subsequent sustainable carbon reductions. 10.1.8. 2035: Emissions stabilisation Building on the foundations of the first phase, it will in time be possible to take advantage of new energy-related infrastructure and major technology advances, in areas such as advanced nuclear power plants, some utilising breeder technology, and supercritical coal and/or IGCC with CCS, thus enabling zerocarbon-emission, fossil fueled power plants. Other important emission-reduction technologies include advanced solar thermal, buildingintegrated photovoltaics, and micro-combined heat and power plants. All of these are further stimulated by breakthroughs in energy-storage technology. In addition, advanced building technologies produce major energy savings, perhaps including converting buildings from energy consumers to net producers. Hybrid vehicles, plus other advanced clean transportation options (including the widely expanded production and use of biofuels that do not interfere with the food cycle) will also significantly contribute to lower carbon emissions while reducing petroleum consumption. 10.1.9. 2050: Sustainable emissions reduction As time goes on, zero-carbon technologies, coupled with advanced energy storage, continue the decline in emissions, leading to a truly postcarbon world. The potential for nuclear fusion and a universal electro-hydrogen energy economy may also be established. All of this continued progress, however, is predicated on sustained major global commitment to technological development with prompt transfer and deployment into the world’s energy infrastructure. This timeline may seem lengthy but it only underscores the urgency needed if global CO 2 emissions are to be returned to or below current levels by 2050. Some are costly in the shortterm, but will produce longer-term benefits. The sooner society acts with a real commitment and effective measures to stabilise and reduce CO 2 emissions, the better. A recently released report, “Framework for a Post-2012 Agreement on Climate Change” 19 , by the UN convened Global Leadership for Climate Action, focuses on urgent actionable recommendations, including complementary pathways, also suggesting as this study does that energy related carbon emissions can be reduced to current levels by 2050. In addition, the WEC study and this GLCA study both believe that market based mechanisms are important to achieving realistic carbon reductions. This WEC study further recommends that an international agency modeled after the World Trade Organization (WTO) is required to monitor and police any global market with the appropriate authority delegated to and honored by each participating nation. 19 Framework for a Post-2012 Agreement on Climate Change, Global Leadership for Climate Action, 2007.
Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050 World Energy Council 2007 Appendices 97 Appendix C: Study Group Members Chair: Brian Statham (South Africa) Members: Ricardo Falabella (Argentina) Tanvir Nawaz Khan (Bangladesh) Pietro Erber (Brazil) Ian Hayhow (Canada) Jiang Liping (China) Damir Pesut (Croatia) Ragia Abdin (Egypt) Harry Viheriävaara (Finland) François Ailleret (France) Jean-Eudes Moncomble (France) Hans-Wilhelm Schiffer (Germany) Konstantinos Maniatopoulos (Greece) Theofilos Likos (Greece-2005) Abou Kawass Camara (Guinea) B.P. Rao (India) R.S. Sharma (India) Djoko Prasetijo (Indonesia) Mohsen Bakhtiar (Iran) Makoto Suto (Japan) Mariano Bauer (Mexico) Rob Whitney (New Zealand) Olugbenga Adesanya (Nigeria) Marek Jaczewski (Poland) Francisco Saraiva (Portugal) Anton Vladescu (Romania) Vladimir Mirolyubov (Russia) Victor Sergeev (Russia-2005) Mahmoud Al-Osaimy (Saudi Arabia) Natan Bernot (Slovenia) Alison von Ketelhodt (South Africa) Eloy Álvarez Pelegry (Spain) G.B.A. Fernando (Sri Lanka) Jürg Bartlome (Switzerland) David Small (Trinidad & Tobago) Nabil Bouraoui (Tunisia) Wim Thomas (UK) Guy F. Caruso (USA) Eduardo Alvarez (Venezuela) Steering Committee: Brian Statham (South Africa) Rogério Manso (for Latin America and the Caribbean) Oskar Sigvaldason (for North America) Emad El-Sharkawi (for Africa) Yasuo Hosoya (for Asia) Ed Weeda (for Europe) François Ailleret (Special Advisor) Rob Whitney (Special Advisor) Specialist Group Leaders: Investment and finance - Dirk Beeuwsaert (Belgium) Energy-price drivers - H.W. Schiffer (Germany) Electricity generation - B.P. Rao (India) Electricity generation - R.S. Sharma (India) Electricity end-use - Makoto Suto (Japan) Stationary end-use - Natan Bernot (Slovenia) Climate change - Malcolm Keay (UK) Transport - Simon Godwin (USA)
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