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Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050

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<strong>Deciding</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong>: <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>Scenarios</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>2050</strong> World <strong>Energy</strong> Council 2007 Regional Achievement of <strong>the</strong> 3 A’s<br />

Figure 5-10 Relative change from 2005 for North America for <strong>the</strong> Elephant scenario<br />

consequently, security of supply. Government<br />

engagement also stimulates research and<br />

development of local technology, although costs<br />

are frequently high, both in terms of<br />

management as well as final products. The<br />

absence of private sec<strong>to</strong>r participation and<br />

relative isolation is responsible for relative<br />

technological backwardness and absence of<br />

investment in <strong>the</strong> mitigation and offsetting of<br />

environmental impacts. Artificially set tariffs<br />

prejudice business, including state-owned<br />

entities.<br />

5.2.5. North America (Figure 5-10)<br />

In this region, <strong>the</strong> high level of engagement by<br />

government <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> low cooperation<br />

ends up displacing private sec<strong>to</strong>r initiatives.<br />

Government does not have <strong>the</strong> capacity <strong>to</strong><br />

substitute for private enterprise and <strong>the</strong><br />

performance of infrastructure generally declines<br />

with negative consequences for Availability in<br />

<strong>the</strong> middle of <strong>the</strong> period. There is some recovery<br />

<strong>to</strong>ward <strong>the</strong> end as government builds capacity<br />

and moves fur<strong>the</strong>r up <strong>the</strong> learning curve.<br />

Acceptability declines during <strong>the</strong> middle periods<br />

because of low cooperation. Government is<br />

unable <strong>to</strong> sustain his<strong>to</strong>ric levels of performance<br />

without <strong>the</strong> cooperation of <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r.<br />

Toward <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> period, government<br />

intervenes with strong legislation forcing a return<br />

<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2005 levels of Acceptability, but <strong>the</strong>re is<br />

no fur<strong>the</strong>r improvement.

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