Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
Deciding the Future: Energy Policy Scenarios to 2050
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<strong>Deciding</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Future</strong>: <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Policy</strong> <strong>Scenarios</strong> <strong>to</strong> <strong>2050</strong> World <strong>Energy</strong> Council 2007 Regional Achievement of <strong>the</strong> 3 A’s<br />
Figure 5-10 Relative change from 2005 for North America for <strong>the</strong> Elephant scenario<br />
consequently, security of supply. Government<br />
engagement also stimulates research and<br />
development of local technology, although costs<br />
are frequently high, both in terms of<br />
management as well as final products. The<br />
absence of private sec<strong>to</strong>r participation and<br />
relative isolation is responsible for relative<br />
technological backwardness and absence of<br />
investment in <strong>the</strong> mitigation and offsetting of<br />
environmental impacts. Artificially set tariffs<br />
prejudice business, including state-owned<br />
entities.<br />
5.2.5. North America (Figure 5-10)<br />
In this region, <strong>the</strong> high level of engagement by<br />
government <strong>to</strong>ge<strong>the</strong>r with <strong>the</strong> low cooperation<br />
ends up displacing private sec<strong>to</strong>r initiatives.<br />
Government does not have <strong>the</strong> capacity <strong>to</strong><br />
substitute for private enterprise and <strong>the</strong><br />
performance of infrastructure generally declines<br />
with negative consequences for Availability in<br />
<strong>the</strong> middle of <strong>the</strong> period. There is some recovery<br />
<strong>to</strong>ward <strong>the</strong> end as government builds capacity<br />
and moves fur<strong>the</strong>r up <strong>the</strong> learning curve.<br />
Acceptability declines during <strong>the</strong> middle periods<br />
because of low cooperation. Government is<br />
unable <strong>to</strong> sustain his<strong>to</strong>ric levels of performance<br />
without <strong>the</strong> cooperation of <strong>the</strong> private sec<strong>to</strong>r.<br />
Toward <strong>the</strong> end of <strong>the</strong> period, government<br />
intervenes with strong legislation forcing a return<br />
<strong>to</strong> <strong>the</strong> 2005 levels of Acceptability, but <strong>the</strong>re is<br />
no fur<strong>the</strong>r improvement.