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Public Comment. Volume III - Montana Legislature

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Impact Analysis Studies and Proposed Mitigation Approach Page 5<br />

identify critical existing factors that may affect production levels. Two separate but<br />

simultaneous studies will be conducted to obtain baseline data, to quantify current<br />

production, and to evaluate potential impacts or lack of impacts related to TRR<br />

construction, operations, and maintenance, including catastrophic events. One study<br />

would be done at the hatchery level during nonnal hatchery operations to determine<br />

impacts with all other factors involved. The other study would be considered a laboratory<br />

study, which would look at the same issues but would eliminate all unknown factors and<br />

test only. those conditions that would be.directly related to railroad activities.<br />

Since hatchery production success depends upon many different factors, these studies<br />

will be used to quantify how each factor contributes to production variation. The end<br />

result will be a predictive statistical model, based on a multiple regression or principal<br />

components analysis, that can assist MT DFWP in assessing whether annual production<br />

success.meets expected levels or has been compromised by some external influence.<br />

In order to have adequate data for comparison against production during construction and<br />

operation, these initial studies should begin early enough to allow completion of two full .<br />

hatchery cycles before construction begins. Therefore, it is imperative to begin both<br />

studies as soon as possible, preferably with the spring 2000 egg collections. MT DFWP<br />

stresses that these studies are included to aid in defining and identifying impacts that may<br />

occur which could trigger the need for mitigation. The studies themselves are only the<br />

first step in the mitigation process, they b e not to be misconstrued as mitigation in and of<br />

themselves. MT DFWP also recognizes that, with the possible exception of a<br />

catastrophic event, the studies may reveal minor or no impacts from TRR, which would<br />

require no additional mitigation.<br />

3.1 Study Descriptions<br />

3.1.1 Baseline Study<br />

The baseline study will take place on-site at the MCFH. MT DFWP personnel will<br />

continue to run normal hatchery operations. The baseline study will be conducted by a<br />

third party, as described in section 3.1.2, and will be intended to mesh searnlessly into<br />

the hatchery operations so that study protocols (data collection, measurement methods,<br />

causative factor identification, etc.) can eventually be integrated into hatchery operations<br />

at the conclusion of the TRRC hnded study. The primary goal of the baseline study will<br />

be to quantify production at MCFH and identify and quantify any existing factors that<br />

affect annual production variation at all phases of the hatchery's cycle. (e.g. egg<br />

collection, incubation, hatching, fry survival and maturation, losses due to disease,<br />

zooplankton production, etc). Each critical phase of production will be examined<br />

separately and as part of the complete production process. At a minimum, the critical<br />

phases will include:<br />

i) Egg viability once they reach the hatchery<br />

ii) Hatching success<br />

iii) Fry survival to initial post-hatching size ( < 1 ")<br />

C:-TUB u-mean 1.14.-<br />

-226- <strong>Volume</strong> Ill: <strong>Public</strong> <strong>Comment</strong>

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