How Terrorist Groups End - RAND Corporation

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Table A.1 Organizations in the Data Set Organization Operating Peak Size Econ. a Regime b Type c Goal d Ended e a Designations correspond to the World Bank analytical classification for each terrorist group’s base country of operation in the year in which the use of terror ended. Current World Bank classifications have been employed for terrorist groups deemed active at the end of 2006. In 2006, the World Bank used the following thresholds for classifying national economies (in 2005 gross national income [GNI] per capita, calculated using the World Bank Atlas Method): L = low income ($875 or less); LM = lower middle income ($876–$3,465); UM = upper middle income ($3,466–$10,725); and H = high income ($10,726 or more). b Designations correspond to the Freedom House classification of each terrorist group’s base country of operation in the year in which the use of terror ended. Current Freedom House classifications have been employed for terrorist groups deemed active at the end of 2006. The status designations of F (free), PF (partly free), and NF (not free) are determined by the combination of the political-rights and civil-liberties ratings for each country or territory. These categories contain numerical ratings between 1 and 7 for each country or territory, with 1 representing the freest and 7 the least free. The aggregate score of 2 to 14 indicates the general state of freedom in each country or territory. c R = religious. LW = left-wing. N = nationalist. RW = right-wing. d RC = regime change. TC = territorial change. PC = policy change. E = empire. SR = social revolution. SQ = status quo. e PO = policing. S = splintering. PT = politics. V = victory. MF = military force. 1920 Revolution Brigades (Iraq) 2003– 10s LM NF R RC — 23rd of September Communist League (Mexico) 1973–1982 100s UM PF LW RC PO 28 May Armenian Organization (Turkey) 1977 10s LM F N TC S 142 How Terrorist Groups End: Lessons for Countering al Qa’ida 2nd of June Movement (Federal Republic of Germany) 1975–1981 10s H F LW PC S Abdurajak Janjalani Brigade (Philippines) 1999 10s LM F R PC S Abu al-Abbas (Iraq) 2004 10s LM NF R PC S
Table A.1—Continued Organization Operating Peak Size Econ. a Regime b Type c Goal d Ended e Abu al-Rish Brigades (West Bank/Gaza) 1993– 100s LM PF N TC — Abu Bakr al-Siddiq Fundamentalist Brigades (Iraq) 2004 10s LM NF R PC S Abu Hafs al-Masri Brigade (Spain, UK) 2003– 10s H F R E — Abu Nayaf al-Afghani (Spain) 2004 10s H F R E S Abu Nidal Organization (Iraq, Libya, Syria) 1974–2002 100s LM NF N TC PO Abu Sayyaf Group (Philippines) 1991– 100s LM PF R E — Accolta Nazinuale Corsa (France) 2002–2003 10s H F N TC S Achik National Volunteer Council (Bangladesh, Burma, India) 1995– 100s L F N TC — Actiefront Nationistisch Nederland (Netherlands) 1992 10s H F RW PC PT Action Commitee of WInegrowers (France) 1999– 10s H F LW PC — Action Directe (France) 1979–1987 100s H F LW SR PO Action Front for the Liberation of the Baltic Countries (France) 1977 10s H F N SQ V Action Group Extreme Beate (Denmark) 2005 10s H F LW PC PO Aden Abyan Islamic Army (Yemen) 1994– 10s L PF R RC — Adivasi Cobra Force (India) 1996– 100s L F N PC — Affiche Rouge (France) 1981–1986 10s H F LW SR PO End-of-Terror Data Set 143
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THE ARTS CHILD POLICY CIVIL JUSTICE
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HOW TERRORIST GROUPS END Lessons fo
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About the Authors Seth G. Jones is
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Preface By analyzing 648 groups tha
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viii How Terrorist Groups End: Less
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Tables 5.1. Insurgent Groups and In
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xiv How Terrorist Groups End: Lesso
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xvi How Terrorist Groups End: Lesso
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Acknowledgments This book would not
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xxii How Terrorist Groups End: Less
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CHAPTER ONE Introduction There has
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Introduction 3 At the core of these
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Introduction 5 The first step was t
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Introduction 7 attention, processin
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CHAPTER TWO How Terrorist Groups En
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How Terrorist Groups End 11 Some ar
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How Terrorist Groups End 13 helping
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How Terrorist Groups End 15 ficient
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How Terrorist Groups End 17 nomic n
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How Terrorist Groups End 19 or kill
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How Terrorist Groups End 21 terrori
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How Terrorist Groups End 23 ended i
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How Terrorist Groups End 25 Consequ
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How Terrorist Groups End 27 Policin
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How Terrorist Groups End 29 ment of
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How Terrorist Groups End 31 Under m
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How Terrorist Groups End 33 that th
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How Terrorist Groups End 35 via vic
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How Terrorist Groups End 37 three s
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How Terrorist Groups End 39 Figure
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How Terrorist Groups End 41 Figure
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How Terrorist Groups End 43 securit
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CHAPTER FIVE Military Force and al
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Military Force and al Qa’ida in I
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Al Qa’ida Attacks, 1994-2007 193
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Al Qa’ida Attacks, 1994-2007 195
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APPENDIX C Regression Analysis Usin
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Regression Analysis 199 Table C.1 P
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References 9/11 Commission—see Na
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References 203 ———, “Report
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References 205 ———, “How al
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References 207 Gompert, David C., J
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References 209 Interview with membe
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References 211 Kosal, Margaret, “
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References 213 ———, Continued
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References 215 Parachini, John, “
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References 217 Rubin, Trudy, “New
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References 219 United Nations Depar
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References 221 West, Bing, and Owen
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224 How Terrorist Groups End: Lesso
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How Terrorist Groups End - RAND Corporation

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