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Caspian Report - Issue 06 - Winter 2014

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The tension between the West and Iran<br />

reached its peak during Ahmadinejad’s presidency.<br />

With harsh statements against the<br />

US and Israel, Ahmadinejad at various points<br />

brought the parties to the brink of war.<br />

Relations between Iran and the West<br />

significantly deteriorated as a result<br />

of the 1979 Iran Islam revolution<br />

and the hostage crisis, but things got<br />

worse as Iran developed its nuclear<br />

programme. The West regarded<br />

Iran as a threat to the region, and<br />

tried to persuade it to abandon its<br />

nuclear operations. However, Iran<br />

has consistently claimed that its<br />

nuclear operations are being carried<br />

out for peaceful means. The tension<br />

between the West and Iran reached<br />

its peak during Ahmadinejad’s presidency.<br />

With harsh statements against<br />

the US and Israel, Ahmadinejad at<br />

various points brought the parties<br />

to the brink of war. Bilateral tensions<br />

were reduced and harsh statements<br />

were replaced with mutual goodwill<br />

gestures when Hasan Rouhani<br />

was elected as the new president in<br />

August 2013. As a result, a 6-month<br />

interim deal on Iran’s nuclear program<br />

has been signed between Iran<br />

and the G5+1 countries in Geneva.<br />

According to the deal, Iran will suspend<br />

its nuclear programme to a<br />

significant extent, dispose of its 20%<br />

enriched uranium, resume uranium<br />

enrichment activities only at a rate<br />

OBAMA<br />

OPPOSES<br />

NUCLEAR<br />

ARMAMENT,<br />

AND IS<br />

CONCERNED<br />

ABOUT A<br />

POSSIBLE<br />

ARMS RACE IN<br />

THE REGION IF<br />

IRAN CREATES<br />

A REGIONAL<br />

SECURITY<br />

DILEMMA BY<br />

ACQUIRING<br />

NUCLEAR<br />

WEAPONS.<br />

of 5%. In return, the international<br />

community will reduce the sanctions<br />

around $7 billion. If the parties<br />

do not fulfil their obligations within<br />

6 months, an extension of 6 months<br />

will be granted.<br />

What has pushed the parties to reach<br />

a deal after years of tensions<br />

BENEFITS OF THE DEAL FOR THE<br />

WEST, PARTICULARLY THE US<br />

• Obama opposes nuclear armament,<br />

and is concerned about a possible<br />

arms race in the region if Iran creates<br />

a regional security dilemma by<br />

acquiring nuclear weapons.<br />

• Economic costs for the US as a result<br />

of operations in Afghanistan and<br />

Iraq are high, and 2008 world economic<br />

crisis also caused trouble for<br />

the US economy. Thus, the US does<br />

not want another war. Moreover,<br />

Iran is very different from Iraq, and<br />

a possible war with Iran would not<br />

only be a major blow for the US economy<br />

but would also cause instability<br />

in the region. In this case, the US is<br />

choosing peace over war.<br />

115<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, WINTER <strong>2014</strong>

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