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Caspian Report - Issue 06 - Winter 2014

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the gas reverse with Europe, which<br />

was completely halted in the first<br />

days of <strong>2014</strong>. Hopefully, the Ukrainian<br />

government understands the<br />

importance of saving some volumes<br />

of gas reverse and open reverse<br />

routed for Ukraine, as Russia gives<br />

no guarantee against the possible<br />

increase of gas prices to the level of<br />

400-450 USD per thousand cubic<br />

meters.<br />

The Ukrainian market remains important<br />

for <strong>Caspian</strong> gas. By the time<br />

of TAP-TANAP launch, Ukraine will<br />

have the gas agreement with Russian<br />

Federation ended in 2019, so<br />

<strong>Caspian</strong> gas in Ukraine could meet a<br />

market niche at the level of 5 bcm annual<br />

or even more.<br />

The new energy policy of the Ukrainian<br />

government could lead to a<br />

serious reduction of Russian gas dependency<br />

and could make Ukraine a<br />

gas producer in the East European<br />

region. This plan was connected to<br />

the idea of making the country a gas<br />

energy hub. Among the promoters of<br />

the gas hub project are the American<br />

energy companies, which have plans<br />

to sell Ukrainian shale gas and deep<br />

sea shelf gas. But now this plan is under<br />

question.<br />

55<br />

CASPIAN REPORT, WINTER <strong>2014</strong><br />

Shale gas is the sphere where<br />

Ukraine could become a leader<br />

among European states. So far, the<br />

shale gas projects are successfully<br />

developing in Ukraine and there are<br />

good chances for their successful realization<br />

within 3-5 years. This will<br />

have an important impact on the energy<br />

security of Eastern Europe.

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