Chapter IVgains in manufacturing have been high up to 1999-2000, and the elasticities were therefore low duringthis period. The economic growth in employment is high, and corresponding high employment elasticityfor the period 1999 to 2005 is a good sign. This should help strengthen the manufacturing sector, whichwill buttress growth and employment linkages with other sectors. The importance of manufacturing isenhanced by the fact that it has very deep linkages with sectors such as transport, storage, wholesale,retail and construction.Employment in the manufacturing sector has been largely generated by the Small Scale Industries (SSI)sector. The following two tables (4.9 and 4.10) will show the relative importance of SSIs in employmentin the manufacturing sector.Table 4.9: Trends In Growth of Employment in SSI &Industrial Sector (%)PeriodGDP Growth per annumIncrease in jobs per annumOrganised Sectorincluding GovernmentSSI sector1980-1990 5.7% 1.59% 6.7%1991-1997 5.7% 0.86% 3.5%Source: http://www.laghu-udyog.com/ssiindia/statistics/economic.htm#EmploymentTable 4.10: Jobs Created in the Organised vs SSI Sectors1980 – 1997Organised SectorSSI Sector53.66 lakh new jobs80.00 lakh new jobsThe SSI sector in India creates the largest employment opportunities for the Indian poor, next only toagriculture. It has been estimated that Rs 100,000 of investment in fixed assets in the small-scale sectorgenerates employment for four persons. 10Within manufacturing, the food products industry has ranked first in generating employment, providingemployment to 0.48 million persons (13.1 per cent). The next two industry groups were non-metallicmineral products with employment of 0.45 million persons (12.2 per cent) and metal products with 0.37million persons (10.2 per cent). In chemicals and chemical products, machinery parts except electricalparts, wood products, basic metal industries, paper products and printing, hosiery and garments, repairservices and rubber and plastic products, the contribution ranged from 9 per cent to 5 per cent, thetotal contribution by these eight industry groups being 49 per cent. The employment per unit is thehighest (20) in units engaged in beverages, tobacco and tobacco products mainly due to the high employmentpotential of this industry particularly in Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Assam andTamil Nadu. Next come cotton textile products (17), non-metallic mineral products (14.1), basic metalindustries (13.6) and electrical machinery and parts (11.2.) Per unit employment was the highest (10) inmetropolitan areas and lowest (5) in rural areas.In most of these sectors, the labour-capital ratios are higher than the sectoral average of 0.78. Whilethe labour-capital ratio takes into account only these two components of output, if we observe wagesin perspective to total output, the ratio is very low. The average proportion of wages in the total outputin manufacturing industries is less than 12 per cent. This compares unfavourably with construction forexample, where this ratio is over 30 per cent.10Source: http://www.laghu-udyog.com/ssiindia/statistics/economic.htm#Employment92
Possibilities: Livelihood Opportunities and PotentialGiven that manufacturing is a mainstay for stable economic growth, we need to configure solutions suchthat employment in manufacturing also goes up commensurately. In the manufacturing sectors, thereis a need to enhance the labour-capital ratio by adopting more and more labour-intensive productiontechnologies and decentralised systems like the cluster approach for promoting a large number of relatedand support enterprises within a geographical area.8. Given the current share of employment in agriculture, it is not desirableto create more employment in this sectorAgriculture, which has lowest LPPI (see annex Table A.4.1), employs over half the workforce of India.The broad message is that employment in agriculture is near saturation. Even as agriculture cannotsupport fresh livelihoods, the dependence of such a large proportion of workers on agriculture needsattention. This attention has to be in terms of inputs to raise labour productivity and incomes.What annex Table A.4.1 obscures by using agriculture as the base is that the labour productivity inagriculture itself had gone up by around 31 per cent between the 38th and 55th rounds of NSS. Yet,the productivity of agriculture and animal husbandry in India compare very unfavourably with othercountries, and this gap will have to be made up in order to ensure stable and strengthened livelihoodsfor the large numbers dependent on this sector. Any productivity or wage improvements on the marginin agriculture are likely to have a much larger impact than other sectors.In themanufacturingsectors, thereis a needto enhancethe labourcapitalratioby adoptingmore and morelabour-intensiveproductiontechnologies anddecentralisedsystems like thecluster approachfor promotinga large numberof relatedand supportenterpriseswithin ageographicalarea.Given the current share of employment in agriculture, it is not desirable to create more employment inthis sector. Higher employment growth in agriculture will only encourage casual labour and underproductiveemployment. In fact, some of the underproductive labour from agriculture should be divertedto other sectors. Agriculture, like manufacturing, needs to grow and stabilise to enable growth of othersectors, which have a dependence on agriculture for growth of their output, and therefore employment.Transport and storage, as well as business service activities, which offer the second highest opportunityfor supporting livelihoods, are sectors which are dependent on the agriculture and manufacturing sectorsto a great extent. Only when agricultural commodities are produced, or manufactured, they needto be transported and stored.9. Then there are sectors with a high share in total employment but verylow total employment growth rates<strong>Services</strong> such as Community, Social and Personal <strong>Services</strong> which include services in education, health,social services, garbage disposal, defense services, compulsory social security and public administrationrequire huge doses of public sector investment, and are driven largely by the public sector therefore.This sector has a high share of 8.5 per cent in total employment, but very low employment growth rates.While it is desirable for this sector to grow for the universalisation of health and education in particular,just the nature of investment in infrastructure for service provision in these sectors is so prohibitive thatany livelihood promotion initiatives will have to revolve around formal initiatives by the public sector.Electricity, Gas and Water Supply and Mining and Quarrying have negligible LPPIs. Employment growthin these is likely to be for people with high and specialised skills. The large strides that these sectorshave made in terms of productivity, has contributed to poor employment potential and low employmentelasticity in Mining and Quarrying. The high employment elasticity in Electricity, Gas and Water Supplyduring 2000 to 2005 has to do with a very low denominator of GDP growth rate. The high productivityof both sectors coupled with the small share of employment indicates that there is no merit in lookingat these sectors for a livelihood promotion intervention.Electricity, Gasand WaterSupply andMining andQuarryinghave negligibleLPPIs.Employmentgrowth in theseis likely tobe for peoplewith high andspecialisedskills.93
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Chapter Iresponse, risks and shocks
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OverviewTable 1.2 Employment and Un
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Mona DikshitMona Dikshit has been a