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National Energy Policy - Final Draft - 14 Nov 2013

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3. The prices in Kenya as published by the ERC are competitive compared to the prices in theregion and other countries like South Africa as shown in Figure 2.3.Figure 2.3 - Prices for different countries converted to Kenya shillings per litreComparison of July 2012 Super Petrol Pump PricesSouth AfricaTanzaniaKenyaIndiaNorwayPMS (Kshs/litre)UKFrance0 50 100 150 200 250Source: ERC, AIT/FIA Information Centre-OTA, July, 20124. In addition, the economies of scale benefit the smaller OMCs, which are mostly localentrepreneurs. However all parties must abide by the terms and conditions of the agreementwhich stipulates equal participation without favouritism in the spirit of creating/promoting a levelplaying field.2.2.9 Global Geo-Political Issues1. On the international scene, petroleum prices have been on a continuous but gradual increase.There are a number of geo-political issues that affect the oil prices in the international scene.These include the unrest in the Middle East countries, reduction in production by OPEC, piracyin the Indian Ocean, increased demand for petroleum products worldwide, foreign exchangefluctuations and fluctuations in the USA strategic reserves.2. This fluctuation of the international prices has been causing a shock to the domestic oil prices.Figure 2.4 shows the time series of the average pump prices in Nairobi and the movement inmurban crude oil prices between January 2008 and May 2011. In particular, over the period<strong>Nov</strong>ember 2010 to April 2011, the increases in pump prices were 23% for super petrol, 24% fordiesel and 22% for kerosene.3. The imported petroleum products are paid for in US Dollars. Figure 2.4 also shows thefluctuation of the exchange rate against the US dollar for the period <strong>Nov</strong>ember 2010 to March2012 which shows an overall gradual depreciation. In particular, there was a markeddepreciation over the period <strong>Nov</strong>ember 2010 to June 2011. The depreciation of the Kenya25 2.0 – FOSSIL FUELS

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