BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE

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THE REVOLUTION IN MILITARY AFFAIRS understanding of the heart and soul (or national character) of the countries under consideration . By "national character" we mean what makes them tick-what factors (current and future) would push them along the path from niche, to regional, to peer competitor . Such considerations might include, but are not limited to, the following : " Historical context " Cultural and social beliefs (mores, etc .) " Demographics (rate of change, age of population) " Geography (landlocked, access to ports, agriculture) " Economic development (trade, industrial baseindigenous/other) " Political system (democratic, autocratic, stability) " Access to foreign markets and technologies (sunrise/ sunset systems, information technologies and capability) " Military force structure (disposition, training) " Nature of alliances (cooperative agreements, traditional/ nontraditional adversaries) In other words, it is essential that we understand what a nation or region is to more accurately reflect what it may become. Understanding the national character and proclivities of a nation is only part of the equation . Equally important is an appreciation of national, regional, and/or global trends that may act in synergy with national character to propel a nation to competitive status . Trends associated with economics, the pace of technological innovation, the development of military weapon systems, the growth of new operational and organizational approaches, and the proliferation and diffusion of military systems and technologies will all interact with the national character and daily events of virtually every nation in the world . While some analysts may view the birth of competitor states (China or Japan for instance), as being quite predictable, we should be cautious in ascribing too much certainty to such predictions . Trends may cause nations to transform in unanticipated ways, thereby giving rise to a number of surprise competitors . Nevertheless, evaluating trends in the context of national character may help to narrow the field of who these competitor states may be . 73
BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE Taking into account our understanding of the national character of potential competitor states/regions, our subsequent analysis should focus on the three dimensions of the RMA required for a nation to achieve competitor status . First is the conscious decision on the part of a state to acquire all or portions of what might be termed an RMA complex . Second is the ability to acquire or develop the systems that constitute RMA-type technologies . Last, and perhaps most important, is the ability, organizationally and operationally, to adapt technologies in ways that bring into being the full military potential of an RMA . In the analysis of the current RMA, which may take decades to emerge, analysis of likely competitors will be a long, arduous, and ongoing process . Today, we could identify a number of potential candidates as peer competitors (Russia, Japan, China, Germany, a unified Korea, an Asian coalition, etc .), but whether they achieve that status remains in question . An even more interesting result of the analysis may be the surprises-new candidates, not unlike Japan in 1940, which have the potential to rise from niche to regional or peer competitor status in the early decades of the twenty-first century. In either of these eventualities, it is likely that for a period of time in the future, the United States will be faced with a number of regional competitors while not being forced to deal with a true peer competitor . However, historical precedent leads us to believe in the inevitability that a large peer competitor will emerge over time . It will be critical for the United States to understand the nature of the challenges posed by such a peer long before the competitor achieves rough parity across important military areas . Understanding the natures of competitors is especially important because of their influence on emerging forms of warfare . Judging from the example of past RMAs, distinct approaches to harnessing new technologies will surface in those states seeking to exploit them . During the interwar period, the Germans, British, and French followed different directions in the usage of tanks ; similarly, the US and British navies differed in their development of carrier aviation . The most successful approaches will not necessarily come from the countries most experienced with the relevant 74
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BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE 21st Cent
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To Keegie (eSchneider) who so fully
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Battlefield of the Future 21st Cent
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Acknowledgments We, the editors, wi
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Introduction This is a book about s
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the outset of a conflict. This will
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Chapter 1 Principles of War for the
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR by the proliferat
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR should not be eng
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR Some would argue
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR designed to fight
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR presenting the en
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR Col John Warden,
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR allied forces in
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PRINCIPLES OF WAR The enemy WMD thr
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Page 42 and 43: PRINCIPLES OF WAR S - Simultaneity
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Page 52 and 53: Overview : New Era Warfare? A Revol
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Page 56 and 57: Chapter 2 New-Era Warfare Gen Charl
Page 58 and 59: NEW-ERA WARFARE many nations that a
Page 60 and 61: NEW-ERAWARFARE brilliant decision o
Page 62 and 63: NEW-ERAWARFARE The United States ca
Page 64 and 65: NEW-ERA WARFARE Terminal-phase Inte
Page 66 and 67: NEW-ERAWARFARE have to fight for th
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Page 70 and 71: NEW-ERAWARFARE Our nuclear-weapons
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Page 74 and 75: Chapter 3 The Revolution in Militar
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Page 108 and 109: Overview : Future Airpower and Stra
Page 110 and 111: FUTURE AIRPOWER AND STRATEGY ISSUES
Page 112 and 113: Chapter 4 Air Theory for the Twenty
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AIR THEORY FOR THE TWENTY-FIRST CEN
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Chapter 5 Parallel War and Hyperwar
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR In this ta
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PARALLEL WAR AND HYPERWAR due to th
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR albeit som
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR are essent
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR The realit
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR Airpower-A
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR Defeating
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR " When att
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR SIOP, it i
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PARALLEL WAR AND HYPERWAR 11 . "Inf
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PARALLEL WARAND HYPERWAR mass in sp
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Overview : Information Warfare Issu
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INFORMATION WARFARE ISSUES per day;
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Chapter 6 Information War - Cyberwa
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INFORMATION WAR - CYBERWAR - NEIWAR
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INFORMATIONWAR - CYBERWAR - NETWAR
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INFORMATION WAR - CYBERWAR - NETWAR
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INFORMATIONWAR - CYBERWAR - NETWAR
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Chapter 7 Information Warfare : Imp
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INFORMATION WARFARE exploiting our
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INFORMATION WARFARE sufficient . He
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INFORMATION WARFARE now-whether the
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INFORMATION WARFARE it, convinced C
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INFORMATION WARFARE Jr.45 Conceived
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INFORMATIONWARFARE deception nets,
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INFORMATIONWARFARE The Joint Commun
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INFORMATION WARFARE but a limited n
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INFORMATIONWARFARE adversary . We h
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INFORMATIONWARFARE example, to stov
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INFORMATIONWARFARE Interestingly, o
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INFORMATION WARFARE avenue to emplo
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INFORMATION WARFARE 21 . Ibid ., 16
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INFORMATION WARFARE 68 . Petersen,
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Overview: Biological Warfare Issues
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BIOLOGICAL WARFARE ISSUES airliners
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Chapter 8 The Biological Weapon : A
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THEBIOLOGICAL WEAPON the terrorist
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON Biological Wa
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON Another incid
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON The defector
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON advanced prog
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON agents may al
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON higher by ord
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THE BIOLOGICAL-WEAPON terms of rapi
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THE BIOLOGICAL WEAPON they say the
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THE BIOLOGICALWEAPON 43 . "Biologic
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Chapter 9 Twenty-First Century Germ
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE u
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURYGERM WARFARE fo
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'TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE
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BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE the grisl
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BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE pursue BW
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE c
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE i
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE f
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE b
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURYGERM WARFARE ma
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TWENTY-FIRST CENTURY GERM WARFARE N
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Chapter 10 Biological Weapons for W
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BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS FORWAGING ECONOM
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BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS FOR WAGING ECONO
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BIOLOGICAL WEAPONS FOR WAGING ECONO
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Chapter 11 On Twenty-first Century
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warfare, space war, precision warfa
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example, where the United States as
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5,500 more . This group also had be
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About the Contributors James Blackw
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College . A retired US Navy command
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finishing a book on "Counterprolife
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BATTLEFIELD OF THE FUTURE

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