ECB Annual Report on supervisory activities
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exposed banks to ensure that they were carefully m<strong>on</strong>itoring the situati<strong>on</strong> and the<br />
risks and preparing for the possible outcomes. During this period of time, no material<br />
liquidity/funding or operati<strong>on</strong>al risks in the banking sector were identified. However,<br />
recent political developments may delay investments, leading to sluggish growth.<br />
Chart 1<br />
Risk map for the euro area banking system<br />
high<br />
CCP solvency<br />
EA fiscal imbalances<br />
Low growth EA<br />
Low interest rates<br />
NPLs<br />
Risk impact<br />
N<strong>on</strong>-bank competiti<strong>on</strong><br />
Real estate markets<br />
Cybercrime & IT<br />
disrupti<strong>on</strong>s<br />
EMEs & China<br />
Risk premia reversal<br />
Misc<strong>on</strong>duct<br />
Banks' reacti<strong>on</strong> to new<br />
regulati<strong>on</strong><br />
EU geopolitical<br />
uncertainties<br />
Market illiquidity<br />
low<br />
Risk probability<br />
high<br />
Source: <str<strong>on</strong>g>ECB</str<strong>on</strong>g>; arrows indicate potential transmissi<strong>on</strong> channels from <strong>on</strong>e risk driver to another (<strong>on</strong>ly main first order effects are<br />
represented); NPL: this risk driver is <strong>on</strong>ly relevant for euro area banks with high n<strong>on</strong>-performing loan ratios.<br />
Notwithstanding the benefits of a safer and more resilient financial system, ambiguity<br />
surrounding future regulati<strong>on</strong> is also an issue. The completi<strong>on</strong> of the Basel III<br />
review, the determinati<strong>on</strong> of minimum requirement for own funds and eligible<br />
liabilities (MREL) targets will reduce regulatory uncertainty and make the banks’<br />
operating envir<strong>on</strong>ment more stable. In the meantime, banks are also preparing for<br />
the implementati<strong>on</strong> of IFRS 9, which will enter into force at the beginning of 2018. On<br />
the whole, certain banks may still find it challenging to meet stricter requirements<br />
while maintaining adequate profitability.<br />
In 2016 <str<strong>on</strong>g>ECB</str<strong>on</strong>g> Banking Supervisi<strong>on</strong> c<strong>on</strong>ducted the EU-wide European Banking<br />
Authority (EBA) stress test for euro area banks and the <str<strong>on</strong>g>ECB</str<strong>on</strong>g> Banking<br />
Supervisi<strong>on</strong> SREP stress test. 1 The EU-wide stress test covered 37 large<br />
significant instituti<strong>on</strong>s (jointly representing roughly 70% of the banking assets under<br />
European banking supervisi<strong>on</strong>). Stress test results for these banks were published<br />
by the EBA <strong>on</strong> 29 July 2016. 2 The SREP stress test covered an additi<strong>on</strong>al 56<br />
significant instituti<strong>on</strong>s in the euro area. Broadly the same methodology was used in<br />
both exercises to assess the resilience of financial instituti<strong>on</strong>s to adverse market<br />
developments and to provide input to the SREP.<br />
1<br />
2<br />
In order to give c<strong>on</strong>sistent treatment to all significant instituti<strong>on</strong>s in the SREP, <str<strong>on</strong>g>ECB</str<strong>on</strong>g> Banking Supervisi<strong>on</strong><br />
c<strong>on</strong>ducted the SREP stress test covering those significant instituti<strong>on</strong>s that were not subject to the EUwide<br />
EBA stress test.<br />
The EBA published details of the stress test results <strong>on</strong> its website.<br />
<str<strong>on</strong>g>ECB</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Annual</str<strong>on</strong>g> <str<strong>on</strong>g>Report</str<strong>on</strong>g> <strong>on</strong> <strong>supervisory</strong> <strong>activities</strong> 2016 − Supervisory c<strong>on</strong>tributi<strong>on</strong> to financial<br />
stability 10