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Tech Hardware Supply Chain - Gazhoo

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Bhavin Shah<br />

(852) 2800-8538<br />

bhavin.a.shah@jpmorgan.com<br />

Asia Pacific Equity Research<br />

20 April 2009<br />

be heated to temperatures as high as 600 o C to achieve the correct film morphology<br />

and composition, thus limiting the kinds of substrate material that can be used (i.e.,<br />

certain metals will melt at that temperature).<br />

Figure 146: Vapor transport deposition schematic<br />

Depleted<br />

carrier gas<br />

Carrier gas<br />

Source: Institute of Energy Conversion, Solar Review Nov '05.<br />

CdTe<br />

q<br />

Substrate<br />

Saturated<br />

carrier gas<br />

A zinc telluride layer is then deposited either through sputtering (PVD),<br />

electrochemical deposition, or vapor transport and forms an interfacial layer that<br />

promotes adhesion with the back contact metal while stabilizing the ohmic contact.<br />

The back contact metal (e.g., titanium, aluminum, and/or nickel) that closes the<br />

electrical circuit is then deposited, typically using physical vapor deposition (PVD).<br />

The panel then goes through another laser scribe to define individual cells. The cells<br />

are then encapsulated with ethylene-vinyl acetate (EVA) and a bottom sheet of glass<br />

is attached to protect the cell materials from the environment over the 20-year+<br />

lifetime of the product.<br />

We expect thin-film technologies, including CdTe and a-Si, to garner an increasing<br />

share of the overall PV market as it ramps up at the expense of silicon-wafer-based<br />

solar cells.<br />

CIGS thin film technology<br />

We believe that copper indium gallium diselenide (CIGS) thin-film is a promising<br />

PV technology that has proven to yield high efficiency solar cells in laboratory<br />

settings utilizing low-cost materials and well understood but complex process<br />

methods. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the Department of<br />

Energy’s research arm (in the US) for development of renewable technology,<br />

recently produced CIGS cells with 19.9% efficiency, the highest among current thinfilm<br />

PV technologies. CdTe and multi-junction a-Si thin-film cells have reached<br />

16.5% and 13% efficiency, respectively. Crystalline silicon cells can exceed 20%<br />

efficiency but use polysilicon wafers that have been in short supply in recent years<br />

and require an energy-intensive process to manufacture.<br />

However, the commercialization of CIGS has been slow due to challenges in scaling<br />

up the processing steps to achieve acceptable cell performance and yield in highvolume<br />

manufacturing. Several development stage companies are building CIGS<br />

factories, yet none to our knowledge have begun to produce and ship product in<br />

meaningful quantities. We believe the difficulty lies in the issue of maintaining film<br />

characteristics (uniformity, morphology) over a large surface area that is needed to<br />

produce a commercial solar cell. Although we do not believe the difficulties are<br />

insurmountable, we believe that thin film process improvement is a slow and timeconsuming<br />

process. In addition, process improvement for CIGS is more complex<br />

245

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