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Tech Hardware Supply Chain - Gazhoo

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Bhavin Shah<br />

(852) 2800-8538<br />

bhavin.a.shah@jpmorgan.com<br />

Table 45: Apple vs. HTC operator penetration<br />

94<br />

Asia Pacific Equity Research<br />

20 April 2009<br />

one device/operating system and making sure it works for other models and so on.<br />

This simplicity of the business model is quite powerful.<br />

Lack of flexibility on hardware specifications<br />

Glancing through the product reviews, we note a few common critiques on Apple’s<br />

iPhone: (1) no physical QWERTY keypad; (2) lack of stereo Bluetooth and video<br />

recording; (3) poor camera quality; and (4) poor 3G signal reception in certain<br />

countries.<br />

While we still view Apple’s iPhone as one of the best phones in the market, these<br />

issues might prompt some mobile users to go for other phones. Can Apple fix all<br />

these hardware specifications? Theoretically, it could, but based on its track record in<br />

iPod and Macbook, we note that it usually makes major hardware changes only once<br />

a year at best. Apple is also scrupulous about sticking with certain concepts<br />

for e.g., “button-less” has been one usual controversy for earlier products such as PC<br />

mouse, but Apple was still stuck to this concept until 2003. Refusal to offer a keypad<br />

option like other handset brands might prompt some users to go for other brands.<br />

Table 44: Apple—iPod family launch dates<br />

Model 1G launch Refresh model launch<br />

Classic Oct 2001 Jul 2002, Apr 2003, Jul 2004, Oct 2004, Oct 2005, Sep 2007, Sep 2008<br />

Mini/ Nano Jan 2004 Feb 2005, Sep 2005, Sep 2006, Sep 2007, Sep 2008<br />

Shuffle Jan 2005 Sep 2006<br />

Touch Sep 2007 Sep 2008<br />

Source: Company reports.<br />

We like iPhones, but several issues leave plenty of market share on the table<br />

Still single-operator strategy for many key countries for high-end phones<br />

Among the six countries with the largest subscriber base in the US and Western<br />

Europe, Apple is still adopting a single strategy among five of them, with Italy the<br />

only exception. Apple signed an exclusive revenue sharing scheme with operators in<br />

the US, the UK, France and Germany in 2007, which might have impeded it from<br />

rolling out a multi-operator strategy to these countries in the medium term.<br />

In Table 45, we outline the four leading developed North American and European<br />

countries, where 3G iPhone is still available with a single operator. Despite the fact<br />

that the operator is the leading one in the country, iPhone ends up targeting only a<br />

smaller portion of the customer base.<br />

US Mkt share iPhone HTC France Mkt share iPhone HTC<br />

AT&T Wireless 28% √ √ Orange 46% √ √<br />

Verizon Wireless 26% √ SFR 36% √<br />

Sprint 19% √ Bouygues Telecom 17% √<br />

T-Mobile 11% √ Digicel 1%<br />

Alltel 5% Outremer Telecom 0%<br />

Others 10%<br />

UK Mkt share iPhone HTC Germany Mkt share iPhone HTC<br />

O2 25% √ √ T-Mobile 37% √ √<br />

Vodafone 25% √ Vodafone 35% √<br />

T-Mobile 23% √ E-Plus 15% √<br />

Orange 21% √ O2 13% √<br />

3 UK<br />

Source: Company data, J.P. Morgan.<br />

5%

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