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Program - Brookhaven National Laboratory

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Session NC Covariances<br />

Thursday March 7, 2013<br />

Room: Empire East at 10:30 AM<br />

NC 1 10:30 AM<br />

Estimation of Nuclear Reaction Model Parameter Covariances and the Related Neutron<br />

Induced Cross Sections with Physical Constraints<br />

C. De Saint Jean, P. Archier, G. Noguere<br />

CEA, DEN, DER, SPRC, Cadarache, F-13108 Saint-Paul-lez-Durance, France<br />

In neutron induced reactions between 0 eV and 20 MeV, a general problem arises during the evaluation of<br />

cross sections. Most of the time, the evaluation work is done independently between the resolved resonance<br />

range and the continuum, giving rise to mismatches for the cross sections, larger uncertainties on boundary<br />

and no cross correlation between high energy domain and resonance range. This paper will present several<br />

methodologies that may be used for avoiding such effects. A first idea based on the use of experiments<br />

overlapping two energy domains appeared in a near past. It will be reviewed and extended to the use of<br />

systematic uncertainties (normalization for example) and for integral experiments as well. In addition, we<br />

propose a methodology taking into account physical constraints on an overlapping energy domain where<br />

both nuclear reaction models is used (continuity of both cross sections or derivatives for example). The use<br />

of Lagrange multipliers (related to these constraints) in a classical generalized least square procedure will<br />

be presented as well the numerical algorithm that may be used to find the minimum of such a cost function.<br />

Some academic examples will then be presented for both point-wise and multigroup cross sections.<br />

NC 2 11:00 AM<br />

Uncertainty Propagation with Fast Monte Carlo Techniques<br />

D. Rochman<br />

Nuclear Research and Consultancy Group NRG, Petten, The Netherlands<br />

W. Zwermann<br />

Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) mbH Forschungszentrum, Garching, Germany<br />

S.C. van der Marck and A.J. Koning<br />

Nuclear Research and Consultancy Group NRG, Petten, The Netherlands<br />

Since 2008, several methods for nuclear data uncertainty propagation based on Monte Carlo techniques<br />

were developed and presented. They are based on a two-step approach: (1) the random sampling of<br />

nuclear model parameters to generate n nuclear observables such as cross sections, nubar (or alternatively<br />

n perturbations of nuclear observables, based on covariance information), and (2) the use of these random<br />

nuclear data in n calculations with a particle transport code (n � 1000). With the use of a stochastic<br />

simulation code, each individual calculation is usually time-consuming because the statistical uncertainty of<br />

the stochastic simulation should be smaller than the nuclear data uncertainty. Repeated n times, the Monte<br />

Carlo uncertainty propagation with a Monte Carlo particle transport code becomes a large computer-time<br />

consumer. To remedy this problem, two methods of ”fast” uncertainty propagation with a Monte Carlo<br />

simulation code were developed, first at GRS and later at NRG. They provide a substantial reduction<br />

of the number of Monte Carlo histories needed. In favorable cases, the uncertainty of a quantity can be<br />

calculated in only twice the amount of computer time that is needed for the quantity itself. In this way,<br />

the use of Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation method is possible without a large computer cluster. The<br />

new methods will be presented and results will be compared for criticality and burn-up calculations.<br />

193

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