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Program - Brookhaven National Laboratory

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safety cases from the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project, ranging from lowenriched<br />

uranium, compound fuel, thermal spectrum ones (LEU-COMP-THERM), to mixed uraniumplutonium,<br />

metallic fuel, fast spectrum ones (MIX-MET-FAST). For fusion shielding many benchmarks<br />

were based on IAEA specifications for the Oktavian experiments (for Al, Co, Cr, Cu, LiF, Mn, Mo, Si,<br />

Ti, W, Zr), Fusion Neutronics Source in Japan (for Be, C, N, O, Fe, Pb), and Pulsed Sphere experiments<br />

at Lawrence Livermore <strong>National</strong> <strong>Laboratory</strong> (for 6 Li, 7 Li, Be, C, N, O, Mg, Al, Ti, Fe, Pb, D2O, H2O,<br />

concrete, polyethylene and teflon). The new functionality in MCNP to calculate the effective delayed<br />

neutron fraction was tested by comparison with more than thirty measurements in widely varying systems.<br />

Among these were measurements in the Tank Critical Assembly (TCA in Japan) and IPEN/MB-01 (Brazil),<br />

both with a thermal spectrum, and two cores in Masurca (France) and three cores in the Fast Critical<br />

Assembly (FCA, Japan), all with fast spectra.<br />

RE 3 11:20 AM<br />

Bayesian Statistical Analysis Applied to NAA Data for Neutron Flux Spectrum<br />

Determination<br />

Davide Chiesa, Massimiliano Clemenza, Monica Sisti<br />

Milano Bicocca University, Italy<br />

Luca Pattavina, Ezio Previtali<br />

Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare (INFN), Milano Bicocca, Italy<br />

Andrea Borio di Tigliole, Andrea Salvini<br />

Laboratorio di Energia Nucleare Applicata (LENA), Pavia University, Italy<br />

Antonio Cammi<br />

Polytechnic University of Milan, Italy<br />

In this paper, we present a statistical methodology to analyze the neutron activation data and to evaluate<br />

the neutron flux and its energetic distribution. The neutron activation analysis (NAA) technique was used<br />

to perform an absolute measurement of the neutron flux. Many samples containing a known amount of<br />

parent nuclei were irradiated at the TRIGA Mark II reactor of Pavia University (Italy) and the activation<br />

rate of a large number of isotopes was measured through gamma-ray spectroscopy with very low background<br />

HPGe detectors. In order to have a precise determination of the activation rate, the measurements were<br />

repeated on different HPGe detectors and Monte Carlo codes based on GEANT4 were developed to evaluate<br />

the gamma detection efficiency for every radioisotope of interest. Then the activation data of the different<br />

isotopes were combined to evaluate the energy spectrum of the neutron flux. For this purpose a system<br />

of linear equations, containing the group cross section data and the experimental results of the activation<br />

rate, should be solved. Since the coefficients and the parameters of this system are affected by experimental<br />

uncertainties, a rigorous statistical approach is fundamental to get the correct physics results. The Bayesian<br />

statistical approach allows to solve this kind of problems by including the uncertainties of the coefficients<br />

and the a priori information about the flux. A program for the analysis of Bayesian hierarchical models,<br />

based on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations, was used to describe a statistical model of the<br />

problem and to determine the flux energy group distributions. This methodology has been tested using<br />

the activation data acquired in three different irradiation facilities of the TRIGA reactor. The results<br />

presented in this paper show that this technique of analysis is promising, since it allows the evaluation of<br />

the flux energy groups and their uncertainties with great precision. The dependence of the results on the<br />

prior distribution choice and on the group cross section data was investigated, confirming the reliability of<br />

the analysis. Finally, the correlations between the different energy groups were evaluated, underlining the<br />

degree of information added by the experiment.<br />

257

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