U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC
U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC
U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC
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Box 4.2 Financial services: Competitive conditions<br />
The <strong>Korea</strong>n banking industry was the world’s nineteenth largest in 2005, with $676 billion in assets, or less than<br />
1 percent of the global total. By contrast, U.S. banks account for the largest share of world assets (15 percent) valued<br />
at $59.7 trillion in 2005, and are very competitive in open markets. Since 2003, the <strong>Korea</strong>n government has undertaken<br />
financial-sector reform measures toward the goal of turning <strong>Korea</strong> into a regional financial hub by 2020. As such, the<br />
financial sector has undergone consolidation and become more accessible to foreign firms. Foreign investors currently<br />
own an estimated 40 percent of <strong>Korea</strong>’s banking sector, including two of the country’s official national commercial<br />
banks, which are owned by Citigroup (U.S.) and Standard Chartered Bank (UK). In 2006, the top ten foreign banks<br />
operating in <strong>Korea</strong>, three of which were U.S. firms, controlled 25 percent of the commercial banking market. Despite<br />
the regulatory reforms, however, foreign firms still have difficulty achieving the same level of market penetration as<br />
their domestic counterparts, partly due to remaining regulatory hurdles, and partly due to cultural issues.<br />
The insurance industry in <strong>Korea</strong> is the second largest in Asia, following Japan, in terms of premiums written. In 2006,<br />
life and non-life insurance premiums were valued at $33.5 billion and $14 billion, respectively. The life insurance sector<br />
is highly consolidated, with the top three firms accounting for 74 percent of the market. Foreign firms, the most<br />
prominent of which include Allianz First Life (Germany), ING (Netherlands), and Prudential (U.S.), hold an estimated<br />
10 percent of market share. In the nonlife sector, the three largest firms hold 54 percent of the market, and foreign<br />
participation is minimal, at less than one percent.<br />
Sources: EIU, “Country Finance: South <strong>Korea</strong>,” February 2007; and EIU, “South <strong>Korea</strong>: Financial Services<br />
Profile,” January 5, 2007.<br />
Box 4.3 The interpretation of tariff equivalents 1<br />
The Commission estimated the tariff equivalent (TE) for banking services consistent with <strong>Korea</strong>’s current GATS<br />
commitments on banking to be 76 and its latest Doha Round GATS offer to be 59 percent. The Commission estimated<br />
that the TE associated with <strong>Korea</strong>’s commitments in the FTA is reduced to 29 percent. Tariff equivalents are a measure<br />
of the percentage increase in prices due to trade impediments relative to the prices that would exist in the absence<br />
of trade restrictions. The decline in the TE represents both the lowering of barriers to entry and barriers to operation<br />
for U.S. firms in <strong>Korea</strong> and the lowering of the price of banking (intermediation) services.<br />
Specifically, the decline in the TE from the GATS Uruguay Round commitments reflects decreased barriers to the<br />
acquisition of existing <strong>Korea</strong>n firms, reduced residency requirements for senior executives, and the elimination of<br />
minimum investment restrictions for foreign direct investment. Further reductions in the TE from the GATS Doha Round<br />
offers to the FTA reflect the reduction of restrictions in the cross-border supply of certain financial information services,<br />
the elimination of Mode 2 restrictions on <strong>Korea</strong>ns’ consumption of banking services outside <strong>Korea</strong>, and the increased<br />
ability of foreign banks to offer a full range of financial products. The reduction in <strong>Korea</strong>’s TE in the banking sector<br />
applies only to U.S.-based financial institutions. As such, U.S.-based financial institutions may realize a competitive<br />
advantage in the <strong>Korea</strong>n market relative to financial institutions based in third-country markets.<br />
The Commission estimated the price effects of trade barriers on net interest margins (NIMs), which are the spread<br />
between lending and deposit interest rates, using a two-stage econometric model. The first stage of the modelcorrected<br />
NIMs for the effects of prudential regulations, which promote the stability of the financial system but increase<br />
the price of banking services. This first-stage model incorporated firm-level data from 1,400 banks in over 50 countries,<br />
including <strong>Korea</strong>. The second stage of the model isolated the effects of trade restrictions after controlling for a number<br />
of country-level market variables. The Commission used GATS schedules and the FTA text, including the annexes<br />
on nonconforming measures, to identify trade restrictions. The Commission assigned scores to market access and<br />
national treatment commitments on the seven activities defined as banking services in the GATS. The services<br />
included deposit taking and lending services, as well as fee-based services.<br />
1 The tariff equivalents estimated here are not directly comparable to the ad valorem equivalents used in the<br />
Commission’s computable general equilibrium model described in chap. 2 of this report. A full description of the<br />
analysis and methodology used is presented in app. H.<br />
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