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U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC

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Market access in <strong>Korea</strong> for several U.S. noncitrus fruit products has been hampered by SPS<br />

issues as well. 96 SPS issues, including alleged pests and diseases, such as codling moth and<br />

fire blight, have effectively halted U.S. apple exports to <strong>Korea</strong>. 97 Exports of fresh peaches<br />

have been halted as a result of specific SPS concerns, primarily fumigation protocols. U.S.<br />

exports of fresh pears have also been prohibited from entering the <strong>Korea</strong>n market because<br />

of SPS issues that are naturally endemic to the Northwest pear growing industry. The<br />

proposed FTA would establish a Committee on Sanitary and Phytosanitary Matters in order<br />

to resolve SPS issues through science and risk-based assessments. If these SPS issues are<br />

resolved, then the industry predicts that the market has tremendous potential for U.S.<br />

exporters. An industry representative also stated that the resolution of these issues, along<br />

with the phasing out of tariffs, could lead to potential apple exports of between $500,000 and<br />

$1 million in the first year following the resolution of these issues. 98 The industry notes,<br />

however, that the effect on U.S. peach exports will likely be small if the protocol requires<br />

fumigation using methyl bromide, because U.S. industry is concerned that methyl bromide<br />

detracts from the product’s quality. 99 An industry representative also estimates that if a<br />

science-based protocol is established and can resolve the naturally endemic SPS issues<br />

without exorbitant costs to the fresh pear industry, exports to <strong>Korea</strong> would increase to<br />

between $500,000 and $680,000 in the first year. 100<br />

Exports of cherries to <strong>Korea</strong> have grown significantly, averaging year-over-year growth of<br />

over 40 percent per year since 2003. This growth was initially spurred by the fact that, in<br />

2004, all varieties of cherries were permitted for import into <strong>Korea</strong>. Prior to that only Bing<br />

variety cherries were permitted into the market. 101 In recent years, U.S. cherries have had an<br />

85-percent market share in <strong>Korea</strong>. 102 U.S. fresh cherry exports would likely benefit from the<br />

immediate elimination of <strong>Korea</strong>’s 24 percent tariff upon the implementation of the FTA.<br />

According to industry representatives, the immediate elimination of the tariff would equate<br />

to a cost decrease of approximately $0.75 to $0.90 per lb. 103 In total, U.S. cherry exports<br />

would be expected to increase by 30–40 percent or approximately $3.5 million the first year<br />

following the implementation of the FTA. 104<br />

Upon implementation of the FTA, both out-of-season (October 16–April 30) and in-season<br />

(May 1–October 15) fresh grape exports would likely benefit from tariff reductions. Out-ofseason<br />

grapes would benefit from a more accelerated schedule (table 3.9). The majority of<br />

U.S. fresh grapes are imported from October through January 105 and would therefore benefit<br />

from the out-of-season tariff reduction. <strong>Korea</strong>n domestic fresh-grape production is the<br />

primary source of competition for U.S. grapes in <strong>Korea</strong>. The <strong>Korea</strong>n domestic industry is<br />

significant in size, producing 360,000 mt in 2005. 106 <strong>Korea</strong>n growers generally harvest in late<br />

summer and early fall, similar to when American growers harvest. The California growing<br />

season, however, is slightly longer and extends through the late fall which, along with the<br />

tariff reductions, would allow U.S. grapes to gain market share during the months when<br />

96 According to official statistics of the U.S. Department of Commerce, exports of fresh apples, pears, or<br />

peaches to <strong>Korea</strong> have not exceeded $100,000 over the past 5 years.<br />

97 Hansen, “<strong>Korea</strong>n <strong>Agreement</strong> Reduce Fruit Tree Tariffs,” May 15, 2007.<br />

98 Northwest Horticulture Council representative, interview by Commission staff, June 1, 2007.<br />

99 Industry representative, interview by Commission staff, June 11, 2007.<br />

100 Industry representative, interview by Commission staff, June 6, 2007.<br />

101 USDA, FAS, “<strong>Korea</strong> Product Brief, Fresh Stone Fruit 2005,” February 1, 2005.<br />

102 USDA, FAS, “Republic of <strong>Korea</strong> Product Brief, Produce Market Brief Update 2005,” October 5, 2005.<br />

103 Powers, written submission to the <strong>Trade</strong> Policy Staff Committee, Office of the USTR, March 14, 2006.<br />

104 Northwest Horticulture Council representative, interview by Commission staff, June 1, 2007.<br />

105 USDA, FAS, “Republic of <strong>Korea</strong> Product Brief, Produce Market Brief Update 2005,” October 5, 2005.<br />

106 UN FAO, “Core Production Data,” July 18, 2007.<br />

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