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U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC

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2-9<br />

This page has been updated to reflect corrections to the original publication.<br />

Table 2.2 U.S.-<strong>Korea</strong> FTA: Simulated effects on U.S.-<strong>Korea</strong> bilateral trade from a projected 2008 baseline—Continued<br />

a<br />

U.S. exports to <strong>Korea</strong> (f.o.b.)<br />

Benchmark<br />

a<br />

U.S. imports from <strong>Korea</strong> (LDP)<br />

Base before <strong>Korea</strong>n AVE<br />

Base before Benchmark<br />

GTAP sector<br />

FTA<br />

tariff Change after FTA<br />

FTA U.S. AVE tariff Change after FTA<br />

Million dollars Percent Million dollars Percent Million dollars Percent Million dollars Percent<br />

Low High Low High Low High Low High<br />

Transport equipment n.e.c. 2,582 0.9 140 167 5.4 6.5 1,439 0.1 -16 -11 -1.1 -0.7<br />

Electronic equipment 5,529 0.6 212 231 3.8 4.2 17,900 0.2 182 229 1.0 1.3<br />

Machinery and equipment n.e.c. 7,786 5.2 2,774 2,939 35.6 37.7 8,501 1.3 715 769 8.4 9.0<br />

Manufactures n.e.c. 190 5.3 78 88 40.9 46.2 518 3.4 109 125 21.1 24.1<br />

Other sectors 10,898 0.0 14 23 0.1 0.2 8,673 0.0 -86 -73 -1.0 -0.8<br />

d<br />

Total 43,186 4.4 9,741 10,909 22.6 25.3 64,596 1.7 6,399 6,874 9.9 10.6<br />

Source: Commission calculations and GTAP version 6.1.<br />

Notes: Zero values for million dollars indicate values less than $500,000. Zero values for percent indicate values less than ±0.05 percent. The abbreviation “n.e.c.” stands for “not<br />

elsewhere classified.” Differences in low and high percent values may be less than 0.05 percent.<br />

a<br />

Exports from the United States are on a free-on-board basis (f.o.b.). Imports into the United States are on a landed, duty-paid (LDP) basis.<br />

b<br />

There is no change in treatment for the paddy and processed rice sector under the U.S.-<strong>Korea</strong> FTA.<br />

c<br />

Base value for U.S. beef exports to <strong>Korea</strong> assumes full resumption of U.S. beef exports to <strong>Korea</strong>, based on 2003 (pre-bovine spongiform encephalopathy) values projected to<br />

2008.<br />

d<br />

Totals for ranges have been separately calculated and are not a summation of sectoral ranges. The ranges reflect statistically likely outcomes, and it is not likely that sector<br />

estimates will be simultaneously low or high.

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