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U.S.-Korea Free Trade Agreement: Potential Economy-wide ... - USITC

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Historically, <strong>Korea</strong> represents the third-largest export market for U.S. beef and beef variety<br />

meats. <strong>Korea</strong> accounted for nearly 19 percent of all U.S. beef exports by volume and<br />

21 percent by value in 2003. U.S. beef, due to its marbling, is highly valued in the <strong>Korea</strong>n<br />

market and is commonly prepared in the <strong>Korea</strong>n dish galbi, which is made from beef short<br />

ribs. Beef short ribs have been one of the core beef products exported by the United States<br />

to <strong>Korea</strong> and represent a high-value product in the <strong>Korea</strong>n market versus its U.S. domestic<br />

use as ground beef, which is worth one-third of the value. 239<br />

The baseline values used in the Commission’s economy-<strong>wide</strong> estimate of increased beef<br />

exports assume the resumption of beef exports to <strong>Korea</strong>, which have been limited in recent<br />

years because of SPS measures. 240 Figure 3.1 indicates that increased imports from other<br />

foreign suppliers were unable to entirely fulfill <strong>Korea</strong>’s 2003 import demand. Because of the<br />

small volume of domestic beef production relative to consumption in <strong>Korea</strong>, relatively high<br />

tariffs and other restrictions on imports, and the inability of suppliers to fully meet excess<br />

demand, 241 <strong>Korea</strong>n consumers witnessed a steep increase in beef prices in the third quarter<br />

of 2004 (figure 3.2). Beef prices have remained high, and <strong>Korea</strong>n consumers pay some of<br />

the highest prices for beef in the world. 242 The elimination of tariffs on beef under the FTA<br />

may also increase the price competitiveness of U.S. beef in the <strong>Korea</strong>n market, potentially<br />

increasing demand for U.S. beef. 243<br />

The phaseout of tariffs under the FTA should positively affect U.S. pork and poultry exports<br />

to <strong>Korea</strong>. Current U.S. exports of pork and poultry face tariffs ranging from 18 percent to<br />

30 percent (table 3.11). Despite the current high tariffs, <strong>Korea</strong> is the fourth-largest export<br />

market for U.S. pork. Moreover, U.S. exports increased by approximately 50 percent by<br />

value in 2006 over 2005. After implementation of the FTA most <strong>Korea</strong>n tariffs on pork<br />

products, with the exception of fresh or chilled pork, would be phased out in equal annual<br />

stages, becoming duty-free in 2014. 244 Although tariffs on fresh and chilled pork products<br />

would be phased out in ten equal annual stages, they are subject to a safeguard measure<br />

similar to that for beef. 245 The initial safeguard trigger level is 8,250 mt and increases by<br />

6 percent annually, reaching 13,853 mt by the ninth year, and is eliminated in year 10.<br />

The increased market access would likely enhance the price competitiveness of U.S. pork<br />

in the <strong>Korea</strong>n market, especially with respect to pork from Chile, which implemented an<br />

FTA with <strong>Korea</strong> in 2004 that gives Chile duty-free access to the <strong>Korea</strong>n market beginning<br />

in 2014. 246 Chile is a major competitor with the United States in the <strong>Korea</strong>n market for pork.<br />

<strong>Korea</strong> provides a market for many cuts that are less popular in the U.S. market. The tariff<br />

phaseout also provides U.S. producers with an opportunity to enhance sales of value-added<br />

products. 247<br />

239 Truitt, written submission to the <strong>USITC</strong> on behalf of the NCBA, June 20, 2007; and Truitt, testimony<br />

before the <strong>USITC</strong> on behalf of the NCBA, June 20, 2007.<br />

240 In addition, industry representative testimony indicated that industry resumption of 2003 export levels<br />

would not pose any difficulty. Truitt, testimony before the <strong>USITC</strong> on behalf of the NCBA, June 20, 2007.<br />

241 Truitt, written submission to the <strong>USITC</strong> on behalf of the NCBA, June 20, 2007.<br />

242 Truitt, testimony before the <strong>USITC</strong> on behalf of the NCBA, June 20, 2007.<br />

243 Johnston, “S. <strong>Korea</strong>n Cattle Prices Fall as U.S. Beef Imports Rise,” June 18, 2007; and Johnston,<br />

“South <strong>Korea</strong> Cattle Slaughter Surges,” June 21, 2007.<br />

244 USTR, “Final - Untied States - <strong>Korea</strong> FTA Text,” 2007, <strong>Korea</strong>n General Notes.<br />

245 Ibid., Annex 3-A.<br />

246 Hayes, “Impact of a U.S.-<strong>Korea</strong> <strong>Free</strong> <strong>Trade</strong> <strong>Agreement</strong>,” written submission to the <strong>USITC</strong>,<br />

June 20, 2007.<br />

247 NPPC, written submission to the <strong>USITC</strong>, posthearing comments, June 27, 2007.<br />

3-39

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