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Khawaja Zaheer Ahmed - PDMA

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for a reasonable forecast, adjusted immediately for an abnormal<br />

change in natural elements.<br />

f. Coordination with the managements of upstream controlled<br />

structures.<br />

g. Pre-designated bund sections, upstream Jinnah Barrage in the<br />

Punjab, earmarked for dismantling by use of explosives, kept handy<br />

by Pakistan Army Engineers, should the inflow create an<br />

extraordinary situation beyond the optimum design discharge<br />

capacity.<br />

45. Admittedly, the 2010 Flood was classified as super flood; the flows were<br />

unprecedented in the KP and had generated higher than the regulation-discharge<br />

or designed capacities, at Tarbela dam and Jinnah, Chashma & Taunsa<br />

barrages in the Punjab, but these were not higher than previously recorded flows<br />

in three barrages in Sindh, as reflected in the table in para 22 supra. The above<br />

has implications:<br />

a. The KP administration had no time to respond to flash floods that<br />

swept away everything in Swat and Kabul rivers in a flash.<br />

b. The three barrages in Sindh received below historic maximum<br />

inflows, though these lasted for longer durations.<br />

c. Tarbela Dam and Chashma barrages regulated their intakes and<br />

outflows as per SOPs.<br />

d. The RGB upstream Jinnah barrage was breached after interagency<br />

consultations on 30 July 2010, for safety of the barrage as<br />

breaches in LGB and LMB on 29 th July, 2010 a day earlier did not<br />

warrant any risk.<br />

e. Four major and scores of minor breaches in secondary bunds in<br />

the Punjab, including the LGB/LMB at Jinnah and LMB at Taunsa<br />

were not pre-designated. Inter-play of many factors contributed to<br />

these breaches: Non–observance of Regulations, misjudgements,<br />

delayed repairs of essential works, inefficiency of the Engineers in-<br />

Page 110 of 211

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