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THE FUTURE OF MONEY Bernard A. Lietaer - library.uniteddiversity ...

THE FUTURE OF MONEY Bernard A. Lietaer - library.uniteddiversity ...

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monastic orders was equivalent to a 'cosmopolitan community' in<br />

Careful Communities. Some even have considered it the high period<br />

of 'Christian Mysticism', the period in the West where the sacred and<br />

the secular sustained each other and worked in harmony. But in most<br />

other regards, the assessment that it was a comparatively 'Dark Age'<br />

remains valid.<br />

The 'Careful Communities' scenario is triggered by a sequence of<br />

breakdowns - such as a monetary crash, and a significant earthquake<br />

in California each of which has been forecast by many specialists.<br />

They do not have to occur in order to attain this scenario, but their<br />

combination would be quite devastating to most centralized<br />

governance systems. Some experts claim that, alone, a monetary<br />

meltdown would be sufficient to provoke a breakdown of our current<br />

society.<br />

Assessing possibilities of breakdowns<br />

The plausibility and consequences of some breakdowns will now be<br />

assessed separately, and the consequences of their combination<br />

evaluated.<br />

A monetary meltdown?<br />

The potential breakdown of a large-scale monetary crisis exists. The<br />

Mexican crash of 1994-95, the Asian crisis of 1997 and the Russian one<br />

in 1998 are certainly not going to be the last monetary crises of our<br />

times. The dwarfing of the world economy by currency speculation<br />

(see Primer) guarantees similar future episodes. However, the 'Big<br />

Monetary Crash' would occur whenever the US$ comes under attack.<br />

It is not a question of whether, but only a question of when, the<br />

instabilities of the official monetary system will assail that linchpin<br />

currency of the global money system.'

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