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THE FUTURE OF MONEY Bernard A. Lietaer - library.uniteddiversity ...

THE FUTURE OF MONEY Bernard A. Lietaer - library.uniteddiversity ...

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duration of the project. (All values are rounded to the nearest dollar<br />

for illustration purposes, since carrying lots of decimals would not<br />

modify the argument presented.)<br />

We all know that money in the future is worth less than money<br />

today. How much less depends critically on the 'discount rate'<br />

applied to the project.<br />

Our analyst knows he could deposit $91 in a bank today at a 10%<br />

risk- free rate of return, and automatically get $100 a year from now.<br />

Therefore the $100 a year from now is identical to $91 today. By the<br />

same reasoning, the second year's 8100 would only be worth $83, the<br />

third's $75, etc. By the tenth year, the $100 inflow only represents to<br />

him $39; and in the fifteenth year a paltry $24.<br />

So what looked like a perfectly reasonable investment, getting back<br />

$1,500 on a $1,000 investment of Figure 8.3, turns out as a lacklustre<br />

project when looked at through the Near-Seeing Glasses of our<br />

financial analyst.<br />

If we projected these forwards for a century, the last $100 would<br />

really be worth only seven cents. Two centuries out we are looking at<br />

a few hundredths of a cent. No wonder that in our societies we do<br />

not usually think about the effect on our decisions 'for the seventh<br />

generation', a process which would require us to take into account<br />

two centuries in the future...<br />

There is nothing wrong with the financial analyst's eyesight or his<br />

reasoning. He just applies straightforward financial logic to a<br />

currency, which has a positive interest rate.<br />

Short term vision versus sustainability

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