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THE FUTURE OF MONEY Bernard A. Lietaer - library.uniteddiversity ...

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financial transactions. So it is no surprise that money is again in the<br />

forefront in computerized cyberspace.<br />

We can expect fundamental changes not only in payment systems<br />

for conventional currencies, but also the emergence of new types of<br />

money.<br />

Post Industrial Society = Knowledge Age<br />

In the 1940s, IBM's first Chairman, Thomas Watson, predicted a<br />

world market for 'maybe five computers'. By 1975, about 50,000 were<br />

operating, and in 1997 more than 140 million. By 1999, there are an<br />

additional 600 million computers-on-a-card currently in use<br />

worldwide, as well as the innumerable 'invisible computers' that are<br />

built into routine appliances - a typical car today contains more<br />

computer-processing power than the first spacecraft that landed on<br />

the moon in 1969.<br />

The reason for this explosive proliferation is simple: never before<br />

has the world seen such a dizzying drop in the price of an industrial<br />

product. We have become used to the idea that today's Pound 1,000<br />

laptop packs more power than the Pound 10 million mainframe of 20<br />

years ago. If car efficiency and costs had followed the same trend,<br />

you would now drive from Lisbon to Oslo and back to London via<br />

Athens on a fraction of a drop of petrol in a car costing less than<br />

Pound 1.<br />

When steam power was introduced, it was not much cheaper than<br />

waterpower, and it took from 1790 to 1850 for its real price to be cut<br />

in half. Likewise, it took between 1890 and 1930 for the price of<br />

electricity to drop by just over half. In contrast, the cost of computing<br />

power halves every 18 months. Named after the President of Intel,<br />

'Moore's law' actually describes an even more impressive rate: every<br />

18 months, computational speed doubles and the price drops by half.

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