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an epidemiological study of listeriosis in dairy cattle

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with the exception <strong>of</strong> silage eye cases. Cases <strong>of</strong> <strong>listeriosis</strong> <strong>in</strong> beef <strong>cattle</strong> were associated<br />

with only two outcome variables (associated with overall <strong>an</strong>d nervous signs) <strong>an</strong>d the<br />

rest were associated with one outcome variable (Table 4. 13). 5 <strong>of</strong> the 7 variables were<br />

also signific<strong>an</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the univariate <strong>an</strong>alysis. However, the use straw bedd<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> this model<br />

was associated with a decreased risk <strong>of</strong> disease.<br />

Table 4. 13. The agreement between the different outcome variables.<br />

Predictor variables that O MC WC SE NS<br />

<strong>in</strong>creased the risk <strong>of</strong> disease<br />

r<strong>in</strong>g feeders for maize silage (<strong>in</strong>door)* + + + + +<br />

maize silage ad libitum (<strong>in</strong>door)* + + + - +<br />

cases <strong>of</strong> Listeriosis <strong>in</strong> beef <strong>cattle</strong> * + - - + -<br />

maize silage <strong>in</strong> complete diet (<strong>in</strong>door) - + - - -<br />

cases <strong>of</strong> Listeriosis <strong>in</strong> sheep* - - - - +<br />

decreased the risk <strong>of</strong> disease<br />

big bale straw bedd<strong>in</strong>g - - - + -<br />

straw bedd<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> cubicle* - + - - -<br />

MC milk<strong>in</strong>g cows, WC w<strong>in</strong>ter cases, SE silage eye, NS nervous signs, + association with outcome<br />

variables, - no association with outcome variables, * also statistically signific<strong>an</strong>t <strong>in</strong> univariate <strong>an</strong>alysis<br />

4. 4. Discussion:<br />

A statistically signific<strong>an</strong>t association was found between 19 predictor variables<br />

<strong>an</strong>d the outcome variables us<strong>in</strong>g 3 separate models. In the first model major risk factors<br />

were identified <strong>an</strong>d these were <strong>in</strong>vestigated <strong>in</strong> more details <strong>in</strong> subsequent models. When<br />

different outcomes were considered fewer predictor variables were associated with<br />

cases <strong>of</strong> Listeriosis show<strong>in</strong>g nervous signs th<strong>an</strong> other outcomes, this may be due to fact<br />

that a small number <strong>of</strong> farms reported cases <strong>of</strong> Listeriosis show<strong>in</strong>g nervous signs. Of<br />

these 19 variables 12 were also found to be signific<strong>an</strong>t <strong>in</strong> the univariate <strong>an</strong>alysis. Cases<br />

<strong>of</strong> Listeriosis <strong>in</strong> beef <strong>cattle</strong> <strong>an</strong>d sheep, use <strong>of</strong> a mower conditioner, maize silage feed<strong>in</strong>g,<br />

big bale silage, storage <strong>of</strong> big bale outside uncovered, <strong>in</strong>door feed<strong>in</strong>g grass silage <strong>in</strong> r<strong>in</strong>g

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