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Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...

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ELK AND OTHER SPECIES<br />

89<br />

-<br />

c:::J<br />

<strong>Northern</strong> Winter <strong>Range</strong><br />

Pronghorn Antelope <strong>Range</strong><br />

6.2km<br />

I<br />

(10 mil<br />

Figure 7.10.<br />

Pronghom winter<br />

range is restricted<br />

primarily to lower<br />

elevation areas in the<br />

BLA and north of the<br />

park. Map by<br />

<strong>Yellowstone</strong> Spatial<br />

Analysis Center and<br />

the <strong>Yellowstone</strong><br />

Center for Resources.<br />

winter ranges north of the park and the removal of<br />

a boundary fence. Pronghorn populations were<br />

reduced in conjunction with elk and bison control<br />

after this period, so that by 1967 there were only<br />

about 188 (Barmore 1980, Houston 1982). During<br />

the 1970s, counts averaged about 140, but increased<br />

to a peak of 594 in 1991 and dropped to<br />

229 in 1996 (see Table, Appendix B).<br />

Goodman (1996) estimated the prospects for<br />

the <strong>Yellowstone</strong> pronghorns through population<br />

viability analysis. He concluded that "this antelope<br />

population is extremely vulnerable to wide swings<br />

in numbers, and the risk of extinction is high ... A<br />

lUn of 'bad luck, I such as a few consecutive years<br />

where coyote predation prevents successful<br />

recruitment of young, coupled with a disease or<br />

weather event causing high adult mortality, could<br />

eliminate the herd." Goodman added, "the [limited<br />

special damage] hunt [reinstituted in the late 1980s<br />

at the request of a ptivate landowner] could in fact<br />

contribute to the dynamical vatiability that poses a<br />

threat to the long term prospects for survival of<br />

the population.<br />

Goodman estimated that the probability of<br />

extinction within 100 years was 18 percent and<br />

noted:<br />

It is conventionaL .. to consider a<br />

popUlation .. . severely endangered when<br />

its probability of extinction within 100<br />

years is above 5 percent. ..<br />

RESEARCH<br />

RECOMMENDATIONS:<br />

PRONGHORN<br />

In 1989, the park convened a group of<br />

western pronghorn experts to review the state of<br />

knowledge on <strong><strong>Yellowstone</strong>'s</strong> pronghorns and make<br />

recommendations for future research. In synopsized<br />

form the group recommended the park:<br />

1. Continue annual counts and recording of<br />

age group distributions as has been done for many<br />

years, augmented through radiomarking a subgroup<br />

to determine sightability and thus the total popula-

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