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Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...

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WOODY VEGETATION<br />

51<br />

example, point bars along rivers, drying oxbows,<br />

and near springs and seeps. New experimental<br />

exclosures such as described under the aspen<br />

research recommendations would probably be<br />

necessary for this research; such a study could<br />

greatly help to sort out the relative influences of<br />

ungulates, climate change, and geomorphic<br />

processes in the decline of woody riparian vegetation<br />

during the past century.<br />

In the late 1980s, a group of 18 riparian<br />

scientists reviewed the state of knowledge concerning<br />

the status, condition, and trends of riparian<br />

ecosystems in <strong>Yellowstone</strong>, and made recommendations<br />

(Anderson et aJ. 1990). They concluded<br />

that the issue of riparian system changes has been<br />

recognized by virtually all involved, and that<br />

preliminary research has been completed by<br />

scientists from within the park and from outside<br />

institutions. Resource managers and scientists<br />

from throughout the west formulated a set of<br />

hypotheses that should be tested. In brief, they<br />

recommended that studies be directed as follows:<br />

I. Test the hypothesis that the riparian<br />

ecosystem maintains a dynamic equilibrium with<br />

climate and geology and thus is responsive to<br />

climate changes past, present, and future.<br />

2. Test the hypothesis that ungulates are the<br />

biotic dominants regulating the riparian system,<br />

3. Test the hypothesis that natural disturbance<br />

events (e.g., fire, flood, etc.) profoundly affect the<br />

riparian systems.<br />

4. Test the hypothesis that the riparian<br />

environment is an important mediator of aquatic<br />

systems.<br />

5. Test the hypothesis that the riparian<br />

environment may mediate processes in upland<br />

areas through its effect on the movement of<br />

ungulates, nutrient loss, and plant species movement<br />

along aquatic corridors.<br />

Each of the above hypotheses contained<br />

many subquestions too numerous to detail here,<br />

Because of cuts in research funding, little riparian<br />

research was initiated in the 1990s, but some funds<br />

were made available for work to begin with the<br />

first topic listed above, beginning in 1997, with the<br />

prospect of expanding to include the other hypotheses<br />

in the next few years. See Chapter 5.<br />

QUAKING ASPEN<br />

Aspen is an especially popular part of the<br />

western landscape. Because of its beauty, and<br />

because it contributes to the ecological diversity of<br />

a landscape, aspen is of great interest both to the<br />

public and to the scientific community. Aspen has<br />

been described as an "insignificant component" of<br />

the <strong>Yellowstone</strong> region for the past 20,000 years<br />

(Mullenders and Coremans 1996, Mullenders et aJ.<br />

1996), but, like willows, aspen has disproportionate<br />

effects on the ecological communities of the<br />

northern range,<br />

Barmore (1980) mapped northern range<br />

vegetation and estimated that about 2,8 percent of<br />

the vegetation was aspen. Based on remapping of<br />

the northern range and compruison with historic<br />

photos, Houston (1982) agreed:<br />

Compared to 2-3% of the winter<br />

range now in aspen, I estimate that 4-<br />

6% was in aspen in the original photos.<br />

A vegetation map of the winter range<br />

made in the early 1930s supported this<br />

estimate,<br />

Kay (1993) disagreed, estimating a 95<br />

percent decline in area occupied by aspen since the<br />

park's establishment in 1872. The spectacular<br />

disparity in estimates of this decline is some<br />

indication of the uncertainty still surrounding aspen<br />

on the northern range, and lead to calculations that<br />

suggest how far astray scientific discourse can<br />

occasionally go. Consider Kay's (1993) statement<br />

that aspen have "declined by approximately 95%"<br />

since 1872. This means that roughly 5 percent of<br />

the 1872 aspen disuibution remains. But<br />

Houston's (1982) estimate that aspen currently<br />

occupy 2 to 3 percent of the northern J;ange seems<br />

to be widely accepted, From these two figures<br />

(aspen now occupying 2 to 3 percent of the<br />

northern range, and that being 5 percent of their<br />

historic distribution), it would follow that in 1872<br />

aspen must have occupied 40 to 60 percent of the<br />

northern range, which the photographic evidence<br />

does not support (Meagher and Houston in press.)<br />

While there is disagreement over the extent<br />

of the decline, it is certainly true that the number of<br />

tree-sized aspen standing on the northern range has

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