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Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...

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THE NORTHERN RANGE<br />

78<br />

to point out that "the debate about natural regulation<br />

and ecosystem stability cUlTently cannot be<br />

resolved by science. In many parks, the decision<br />

about whether or not to intrude must be made<br />

before we have sufficient scientific understanding<br />

of ungulate-vegetation interactions." As strong as<br />

this statement is, it probably understates the<br />

complexity of the scientific situation. Barbee<br />

(1995) took the consideration of scientific uncertainty<br />

to another level, well beyond simple lack of<br />

knowledge, into scientific contention:<br />

We must have good science [in the<br />

National Parks]. That said, I can't<br />

overemphasize the complications of<br />

dealing with the scientific community.<br />

First, on an issue of any substance at all,<br />

the scientists will almost certainly<br />

disagree. Sometimes they will gather<br />

conflicting data, sometimes they'll just<br />

disagree over what the data means, but<br />

as an issue matures, you can be sure that<br />

they will agree less and less. The more<br />

complex the subject, the less agreement<br />

you get.<br />

The scientific and public debates over the<br />

northern range are, regrettably, as bitter as modern<br />

political races. Indeed, Porter (1992) has proven<br />

COHeet in his asseltion that, because science cannot<br />

settle the debate over the northern range, it "will<br />

have to be addressed in the political arena." After<br />

all, policy is a political product to achieve social<br />

goals. It is our hope, however, that at every stage<br />

the best possible science will be employed to<br />

inform the decisions that are made.<br />

The preponderance of evidence suggests that<br />

the northern <strong>Yellowstone</strong> elk herd is naturally<br />

regulated. The changes in northern range vegetation<br />

that have caused observers to raise alarms for<br />

decades are either not the result of elk "overpopulation"<br />

or are part of long-term processes we do<br />

not fully understand. For these reasons, there is no<br />

compelling reason to intervene at this point with<br />

some drastic return to the unsuccessful policies of<br />

elk reduction. There are still many unanswered<br />

questions about the northelTI range, and the natural<br />

regulation policy seems no less great a learning<br />

opportunity now than it did when it was instituted<br />

in 1968.<br />

RESEARCH<br />

RECOMMENDATIONS:<br />

ELK POPULATION ISSUES<br />

It is essential that annual monitoring of this<br />

herd continues, as now conducted by the efforts of<br />

the <strong>Northern</strong> <strong>Yellowstone</strong> Cooperative Wildlife<br />

Working Group-<strong>Yellowstone</strong> National Park, the<br />

Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife and Parks,<br />

the Gardiner District of the Gallatin National<br />

Forest, and the Biological Resources Division of<br />

the U.S. Geological Survey. They record total elk<br />

count, age/sex composition, and other basic<br />

population infOlmation. This information is<br />

important for its own sake in understanding elk<br />

population dynamics, but it is also very important<br />

because the addition of wolves to the ecological<br />

equation, as mentioned previously, is likely the<br />

most important event since the curtailment of inpark<br />

elk culling in the 1960s. A research and<br />

monitoring program on the effects of wolves on<br />

elk, especially in concert with the other elk<br />

predators including human hunting north of the<br />

park, is clearly warranted in future years.<br />

Other research recommendations associated<br />

with the effects of elk on grasslands, shrubs,<br />

riparian, and other woody species are dealt with in<br />

those specific sections.

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