Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...
Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...
Yellowstone's Northern Range - Greater Yellowstone Science ...
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THE NORTHERN RANGE<br />
20<br />
Figure 2.4 Tracking<br />
of the Palmer<br />
Drought severity<br />
Index (a commonly<br />
lIsed indicator of fire<br />
risk) over the past<br />
century in<br />
<strong>Yellowstone</strong> shows a<br />
gradual drying trend,<br />
which may have a<br />
variety of effects on<br />
vegetation<br />
communities, as<br />
discussed in this<br />
chapter. Note<br />
especially the extreme<br />
and historically<br />
unprecedented<br />
dryness of 1988, when<br />
<strong>Yellowstone</strong><br />
experienced fires on a<br />
scale apparently not<br />
equalled since about<br />
1700. Courtesy of<br />
Grant Meyer,<br />
Middlebury College.<br />
<strong>Yellowstone</strong> Palmer Drought Severity Index Time Series<br />
-7<br />
- o "Large ll fire years<br />
-5 -<br />
>-< -<br />
U)<br />
5: -3 - - ....<br />
III<br />
-1<br />
§ - i~<br />
-<br />
;::i ,<br />
U) 1<br />
-<br />
-<br />
3 -<br />
- ~\<br />
5 -<br />
1890 1910 1930<br />
I<br />
I<br />
,'''<br />
MY'<br />
~,<br />
1988.1<br />
(;)<br />
tf<br />
\<br />
•<br />
I<br />
I<br />
1950 1970 1990<br />
range in Lamar Valley vary widely; from 39°F<br />
(3.9°C) at the Lamar <strong>Range</strong>r Station, to 40SF<br />
(4.7°C) at Pebble Creek, to 48.1 OF (8.9°C) at the<br />
east end of Lamar Canyon (Friedman and Norton<br />
1981).<br />
It is a matter of some interest whether or not<br />
the changes in climate experienced by <strong>Yellowstone</strong><br />
during the 1900s are in part the result of human<br />
influence on the atmosphere. Romme and Turner<br />
(1991) have proposed a series of alternative<br />
scenarios that may arise in the greater <strong>Yellowstone</strong><br />
ecosystem as human-caused global climate change<br />
progresses in the future. These scenarios feature<br />
significant changes in vegetation communities,<br />
with consequences ranging from minor to grave for<br />
various mammal species. For example, a slight<br />
warming and drying of the park's climate will<br />
almost eliminate whitebark pine, an important food<br />
species for grizzly bears and other animals. Yet<br />
another reason to continue the present investigations<br />
of the northern range is the opportunity this<br />
research provides to establish baseline information<br />
against which to measure such changes.<br />
CLIMATE: RESEARCH<br />
RECOMMENDATIONS<br />
Over the past 20 years much of greater<br />
<strong>Yellowstone</strong> has been subjected to intense scrutiny<br />
using palynological methods to reconstruct<br />
paleoclimates. Particularly well-studied is the area<br />
from central <strong>Yellowstone</strong> south through the Grand<br />
Tetons. Research needs to be expanded to the north<br />
and east of <strong>Yellowstone</strong>, especially to understand<br />
more about the very important prehistoric variations<br />
in the Great Plains monsoonal pattern, and<br />
how it has affected the northern range in the past.<br />
A lake on the northern range has been identified as<br />
one of the very few "varved lakes" known in North<br />
America. Research on this lake could yield<br />
patterns in annual weather and vegetation, at the<br />
very least, back to the Pleistocene. Daily weather<br />
records from many stations in the park are archived<br />
in original hard copy at a facility on the east coast.<br />
These records need to be accessioned and computerized<br />
so that the weather during the historic period<br />
can be better understood.