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the development of russian military policy and finland

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54 · The Development <strong>of</strong> Russian Military Policy <strong>and</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong><br />

The mention <strong>of</strong> an ability to give <strong>and</strong> receive <strong>military</strong> aid is also a way to make<br />

public <strong>the</strong> secret basic pillar <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> country’s defence <strong>policy</strong> during <strong>the</strong> Cold<br />

War; her extensive co-operation with <strong>the</strong> United States <strong>and</strong> NATO. 201<br />

While pondering <strong>the</strong> mutual solidarity declaration, <strong>the</strong> different defence solutions<br />

<strong>of</strong> Finl<strong>and</strong>, Sweden <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r Nordic countries have been an obstacle<br />

to finding a binding security guarantee between <strong>the</strong>m. The Finnish position<br />

has been that separate Nordic security guarantees are not trustworthy as<br />

such. Norway <strong>and</strong> Denmark, which enjoy NATO’s security guarantees, cannot<br />

unilaterally add to NATO’s burden by making promises which eventually<br />

may be left to <strong>the</strong> bigger NATO countries to carry. A very unfavourable situation<br />

for Finl<strong>and</strong> would be one in which <strong>the</strong> Nordic countries would be left<br />

alone with <strong>the</strong>ir mutual solidarity commitments in a conflict between <strong>the</strong> great<br />

powers, as has sometimes happened in history. 202 These political problems<br />

would not arise if all Nordic countries were NATO members.<br />

For small militarily non-aligned states like Finl<strong>and</strong>, current changes in her<br />

neighbourhood create a condition <strong>of</strong> deepening insecurity. The Finnish white<br />

paper (Finnish Security <strong>and</strong> Defence Policy 2009) stated that “strong grounds<br />

exist for considering Finl<strong>and</strong>’s membership <strong>of</strong> NATO”. 203 No security guarantees,<br />

whe<strong>the</strong>r provided by organizations or states are, however, comprehensive<br />

but being left alone also has its risks. In <strong>the</strong> light <strong>of</strong> history, agreements<br />

have <strong>of</strong>ten been interpreted in a way that <strong>the</strong> interpreter considers beneficial<br />

from his own point <strong>of</strong> view.<br />

The basic security-political positions in <strong>the</strong> Nordic countries have been static<br />

for a long time. Some significant movement can, however, be noted as a result<br />

<strong>of</strong> geopolitical <strong>development</strong>s <strong>and</strong> fiscal austerity in Europe <strong>and</strong> <strong>the</strong> USA.<br />

These provide strong incentives for <strong>the</strong> Nordic countries to deepen <strong>the</strong>ir defence<br />

co-operation. It is still premature to consider binding security guarantees<br />

in one or ano<strong>the</strong>r form, but <strong>the</strong>re is a clear underst<strong>and</strong>ing that creating common<br />

capabilities will serve <strong>the</strong> Nordic interest. 204 Recent examples <strong>of</strong> <strong>military</strong><br />

intervention or crisis management suggest that ‘coalitions <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> willing’ are <strong>of</strong>ten<br />

201 Holmström, 2011. Sweden’s role as NATO’s un<strong>of</strong>ficial 17 th member during <strong>the</strong> Cold<br />

War was one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> cornerstones <strong>of</strong> Swedish defence <strong>policy</strong>. The co-operation with <strong>the</strong><br />

United States <strong>and</strong> NATO assumed <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> quite detailed plans to receive <strong>and</strong> give<br />

help, but due to Sweden’s neutrality this had to be kept strictly secret – especially from <strong>the</strong><br />

Swedish people.<br />

202 Koivula & Forss, 2012, pp. 147–173.<br />

203 Prime Minister’s Office, 2012, p.75. The government white paper released on 21<br />

December 2012 says that Finl<strong>and</strong> preserves <strong>the</strong> possibility to apply for NATO membership.<br />

204 This was articulated in an op-ed article in Helsingin Sanomat by <strong>the</strong> Swedish, Finnish <strong>and</strong><br />

Norwegian Chiefs <strong>of</strong> Defence in September 2012. See Göranson, Puheloinen <strong>and</strong> Sunde,<br />

2012. See also STRATFOR, 1 November 2012, Finl<strong>and</strong>, Sweden: A Step Toward Greater Nordic<br />

Security Cooperation.

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