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Innovation in Global Power - Parsons Brinckerhoff

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Thermal – Achiev<strong>in</strong>g New Efficiencies, Reduc<strong>in</strong>g Carbon Emissions<br />

http://www.pbworld.com/news_events/publications/network/<br />

Project Brief: Us<strong>in</strong>g Monte Carlo Techniques to<br />

Size a <strong>Power</strong> Station By Mike Emmerton, Hong Kong, 65 6290 0737, emmertonM@pbworld.com<br />

1 Two earlier PB Network articles<br />

tell how Monte Carlo techniques<br />

were used <strong>in</strong> risk management.<br />

Please see:<br />

• “Project Risk Management and<br />

Madrid’s New Airport” by Paul<br />

Callender, Issue 51, January 2002,<br />

pp. 56-58 and on l<strong>in</strong>e at http://<br />

www.pbworld.com/news_events/<br />

publications/network/issue_51/<br />

51_24_callenderp_madrid<br />

airport.asp.<br />

• “A Risk Assessment and Analysis<br />

for an Exist<strong>in</strong>g Water Conveyance<br />

Tunnel” by Kyle Ott and Joe Wang,<br />

Issue 51, January 2002,<br />

pp. 38-40, 43 and on l<strong>in</strong>e at<br />

http://www.pbworld.com/news_<br />

events/publications/network/<br />

issue_51/51_17_ottk_risk<br />

assessmentanalysistunnel.asp<br />

In early 2007, PB was selected to assist one of the world’s largest port owner-operators to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e the least-cost approach to meet<strong>in</strong>g the power needs of a proposed conta<strong>in</strong>er port<br />

development <strong>in</strong> Pakistan. The major electrical loads of a conta<strong>in</strong>er port are the quay cranes<br />

used for load<strong>in</strong>g and unload<strong>in</strong>g conta<strong>in</strong>er ships. The client required our power specialists to<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>e whether a stand-alone power station would be more economical than us<strong>in</strong>g on-board<br />

quay crane diesel motors. The key challenge <strong>in</strong> siz<strong>in</strong>g the power station was to deal with the<br />

uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty associated with the load<strong>in</strong>g pattern of 16 quay cranes. The electrical loads of<br />

these cranes vary with their duty cycles, and the total load varies with the number of cranes<br />

<strong>in</strong> operation In turn, this, is dependent on the rate of arrival/departure and the capacity of the<br />

conta<strong>in</strong>er ships.<br />

Our team comb<strong>in</strong>ed eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g and Monte Carlo techniques to successfully deal with this<br />

problem. Monte Carlo is a method of analyz<strong>in</strong>g stochastic processes, which are those governed<br />

by laws of probability, that are so difficult that a purely mathematical treatment is not practical. 1<br />

Client feedback <strong>in</strong>dicated that this technique was the most conv<strong>in</strong>c<strong>in</strong>g method they had seen<br />

used <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry, whereas solutions based on traditional eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g methods only were<br />

judged to be unreliable or conservative.<br />

<br />

Mike Emmerton is a management consultant who has been with PB s<strong>in</strong>ce 2004.<br />

Project Brief: Energiz<strong>in</strong>g S<strong>in</strong>gapore’s Economy<br />

By Kamaljit Gill, S<strong>in</strong>gapore, 65 6533 7333, gillK@pbworld.com<br />

PB acted as owner’s eng<strong>in</strong>eer to Keppel Energy for its development of the Keppel Merlimau<br />

Cogen power plant, a 500 MW comb<strong>in</strong>ed cycle facility on Jurong Island <strong>in</strong> southwest S<strong>in</strong>gapore.<br />

The plant now supplies power to the S<strong>in</strong>gapore grid, and has provision to feed process steam<br />

to chemical plants that are due to be part of the evolv<strong>in</strong>g petrochemical <strong>in</strong>dustry on the island.<br />

Construction began <strong>in</strong> March 2005. Our management team ensured that everyth<strong>in</strong>g was <strong>in</strong><br />

place well ahead of the schedule set by the turnkey contractor, an effort that helped lead to<br />

the plant see<strong>in</strong>g provisional acceptance <strong>in</strong> April 2007.<br />

Related Web Sites:<br />

• http://www.keppelenergy.com/<br />

• http://www.ema.gov.sg/<br />

• http://www.pbworld.com/<br />

The project adopted the acid clean<strong>in</strong>g method, which replaced the usual steam-blow procedure.<br />

This resulted not only <strong>in</strong> a shortened timetable, but <strong>in</strong> improved qualities of steam and water<br />

for commission<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

Our team also helped to meet str<strong>in</strong>gent regulatory requirements. The plant was the first<br />

<strong>in</strong>dependent power project to comply with S<strong>in</strong>gapore’s Energy Market Authority (EMA) rules<br />

follow<strong>in</strong>g deregulation of the country’s electricity market <strong>in</strong> 2003.<br />

<br />

Kamaljit Gill is a senior mechanical eng<strong>in</strong>eer who has been with PB s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005. He was the lead mechanical eng<strong>in</strong>eer supervis<strong>in</strong>g the <strong>in</strong>stallation and construction of GTs,<br />

ST, HRSG, pip<strong>in</strong>g, tanks and balance of plant equipment on site, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g chemical clean<strong>in</strong>g, steam blow<strong>in</strong>g and performance test<strong>in</strong>g of turnkey systems. He was also review<strong>in</strong>g<br />

eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g design documents and draw<strong>in</strong>gs from contractors, monitor<strong>in</strong>g schedules and quality of execution dur<strong>in</strong>g site implementation to ensure that the plant complies<br />

with contractual requirements. Kamaljit was also a member of the commission<strong>in</strong>g team, supervis<strong>in</strong>g, <strong>in</strong>ternal commission<strong>in</strong>g activities - conduct<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>ternal and regulatory<br />

test<strong>in</strong>g, reliability runs and performance guarantee test<strong>in</strong>g.<br />

13 PB Network #68 / August 2008

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