Innovation in Global Power - Parsons Brinckerhoff
Innovation in Global Power - Parsons Brinckerhoff
Innovation in Global Power - Parsons Brinckerhoff
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Hydropower – New Technologies, New Considerations<br />
The OASIS model and how it was used evolved dur<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
consultation process. Initially,Tapoco and the stakeholders<br />
developed alternatives <strong>in</strong>dependent of the model and evaluated<br />
the alternatives <strong>in</strong> an office sett<strong>in</strong>g. We first used the model<br />
to simulate a “base case” condition, which was the Tapoco<br />
project with current operat<strong>in</strong>g rules <strong>in</strong> effect. Next, we<br />
simulated alternative operat<strong>in</strong>g scenarios and the results for<br />
each alternative (estimated reservoir water levels, stream<br />
flows, generation, and value of generation) were compared<br />
to the base case.<br />
As Tapoco moved <strong>in</strong>to formal negotiations with stakeholders,<br />
OASIS was used more <strong>in</strong> real-time discussions. Dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
negotiations, the stakeholders discussed the model results<br />
and requested modifications to the alternatives. We made<br />
modifications and ran OASIS real-time at meet<strong>in</strong>gs, and<br />
presented and discussed the prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results. After the<br />
meet<strong>in</strong>gs, we verified the prelim<strong>in</strong>ary results and obta<strong>in</strong>ed<br />
f<strong>in</strong>al results. If there were any notable differences between<br />
the two, then the f<strong>in</strong>al results were distributed to stakeholders<br />
via e-mail with<strong>in</strong> a few days. This approach kept the<br />
pace mov<strong>in</strong>g quickly for all those <strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> the<br />
settlement process.<br />
http://www.pbworld.com/news_events/publications/network/<br />
Us<strong>in</strong>g OASIS to evaluate alternative operat<strong>in</strong>g scenarios <strong>in</strong><br />
a real-time environment proved to be key to reach<strong>in</strong>g a<br />
negotiated settlement between Tapoco and the stakeholder<br />
coalitions. FERC issued a new license implement<strong>in</strong>g the<br />
agreement <strong>in</strong> January 2005. This license and the associated<br />
settlement agreement were critical to Alcoa’s cont<strong>in</strong>ued<br />
operation of the smelter facility located at Alcoa,Tennessee. <br />
Paul Shiers is a PB vice president with 38 years’ experience <strong>in</strong> hydroelectric<br />
power and water resource eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g. He is qualified as an <strong>in</strong>dependent consultant<br />
and PFMA facilitator for FERC Part 12 safety <strong>in</strong>spections under the new FERC<br />
DSPMP requirements. He has served as project manager for multiple hydropower<br />
projects, and completed an assignment as pr<strong>in</strong>cipal eng<strong>in</strong>eer for work performed<br />
under a multi-year cont<strong>in</strong>u<strong>in</strong>g services agreement with FERC as the senior technical<br />
resource for hydro relicens<strong>in</strong>g and compliance tasks.<br />
Shirley Williamson is a senior supervis<strong>in</strong>g civil eng<strong>in</strong>eer with 29 years’ experience<br />
<strong>in</strong> hydropower. She has been responsible for several NEPA-based environmental<br />
assessments rang<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> size from the 35-plant Tennessee Valley Authority system to<br />
an <strong>in</strong>dividual 2.5 MW facility under FERC jurisdiction. In addition, Shirley has<br />
developed and implemented reservoir operations studies, flood studies, and project<br />
safety response plans and tra<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g programs for owners of hydroelectric facilities,<br />
<strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>terfac<strong>in</strong>g with owners and public safety agency staff.<br />
Chii-Ell Tsai is a supervis<strong>in</strong>g eng<strong>in</strong>eer with 44 years’ eng<strong>in</strong>eer<strong>in</strong>g experience.<br />
His water resources activities have <strong>in</strong>clude: OASIS model<strong>in</strong>g; spillway adequacy<br />
evaluation and stability analysis; water profiles and evaluation of power and<br />
energy for a proposed hydroelectric project; the preparation of emergency action<br />
plans for dam failure; and studies of energy consequences of modified reservoir<br />
operation policies on generation.<br />
Plann<strong>in</strong>g for M<strong>in</strong>i Hydro... (cont<strong>in</strong>ued from page 26)<br />
achieve. These suppliers are more than likely exaggerat<strong>in</strong>g<br />
their mach<strong>in</strong>es’ capabilities. Unfortunately, efficiency claims<br />
are difficult to verify before the asset is <strong>in</strong>stalled because<br />
model efficiency tests are simply not cost effective for<br />
mach<strong>in</strong>es of this capacity. Ideally, the supplier has either built<br />
a turb<strong>in</strong>e close to the head and flow available at the site<br />
from which the efficiency can then be based on, or has completed<br />
a model test of a similar turb<strong>in</strong>e as part of the development<br />
process. In any case, tenderers should be asked how<br />
they derived the efficiency figures presented <strong>in</strong> the tender.<br />
In most cases, verification to site efficiency test codes, such<br />
as IEC600041, can occur only once the turb<strong>in</strong>e is at site. The<br />
measurement accuracy can be expected to be about 2 percent<br />
at best. Compensation from the supplier for an underperform<strong>in</strong>g<br />
turb<strong>in</strong>e will normally be capped at a maximum of 10 percent<br />
of the value of the contract, which may not provide adequately<br />
for the lost revenue over the life of the equipment. This po<strong>in</strong>t<br />
further emphasises the need for caution when evaluat<strong>in</strong>g tenders.<br />
Conclusions<br />
Hydro is an essential part of the renewable generation mix of<br />
the future, even though some consider it to be “old technology.”<br />
As we know, plann<strong>in</strong>g is the key to the success of a project.<br />
I hope this article has provided useful <strong>in</strong>sight <strong>in</strong>to the<br />
development <strong>in</strong> small hydro.<br />
<br />
Q and A<br />
Question:<br />
What measures were adopted <strong>in</strong> the selection of bidders,<br />
specification or bid evaluation process to screen our<br />
poor quality or performance?<br />
John Wichall, Senior Consultant, PB Network Guest Technical Reviewer<br />
Answer:<br />
That is a bit of a complex subject to get <strong>in</strong>to here,<br />
as this topic could be an article <strong>in</strong> itself. As a m<strong>in</strong>imum,<br />
bid evaluation should focus on reputation, referees, technical<br />
compliance with the specification, and performance<br />
(weighted efficiency) of the turb<strong>in</strong>e for the smallest turb<strong>in</strong>es.<br />
Then many other factors need to be considered, such as<br />
long-term operat<strong>in</strong>g cost, non-price attributes etc.<br />
Non-price attributes generally cause havoc with tender evaluation,<br />
and I am a subscriber to the view that if you can’t ascribe<br />
a value or potential value, then it should not be <strong>in</strong>cluded<br />
<strong>in</strong> your evaluation (e.g., no po<strong>in</strong>ts system). The non-price attributes,<br />
cost adjustments, plus the performance evaluation can be<br />
added to the tender price to identify the “best” tender.<br />
Tony Mulholland, a mechanical eng<strong>in</strong>eer who has been with PB for more than two<br />
years, has played a key role <strong>in</strong> all phases of several m<strong>in</strong>i-hydro facilities, be<strong>in</strong>g<br />
<strong>in</strong>volved <strong>in</strong> plann<strong>in</strong>g, design, and construction. He also has extensive experience <strong>in</strong><br />
other hydro-electric projects, and has a keen <strong>in</strong>terest <strong>in</strong> renewable energy sources.<br />
37 PB Network #68 / August 2008