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Risk-Based Inspection

API ICP Self Study Notes

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10.1 Introduction to Probability Analysis 概 率 分 析 介 绍<br />

The probability analysis in an RBI program is performed to estimate the<br />

probability of a specific adverse consequence resulting from a loss of<br />

containment that occurs due to a damage mechanism(s).<br />

RBI 程 序 的 概 率 分 析 是 评 估 一 个 特 点 的 因 一 或 多 个 损 伤 机 理 , 造 成 受 压 设 备 溶 液<br />

流 失 的 逆 向 结 果 .<br />

The probability that a specific consequence will occur is the product of the POF<br />

and the probability of the scenario under consideration assuming that the failure<br />

has occurred. This section provides guidance only on determining the POF.<br />

Guidance on determining the probability of specific consequences is provided in<br />

Section 12. 将 发 生 的 特 定 结 果 的 概 率 依 故 障 概 率 与 发 生 故 障 后 正 在 审 议 的 方 案 中<br />

的 概 率<br />

Key words: Probability of specific consequence, POF, probability of the<br />

scenario.<br />

API 580<br />

Charlie Chong/ Fion Zhang

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