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Agricultural Drought Indices - US Department of Agriculture

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<strong>Drought</strong> Monitoring in AEMET<br />

At present, a monitoring program to watch and evaluate drought is being operationally carried out<br />

at AEMET on a national level. SPI maps (Mckee et al. 1993) for Spain are produced monthly<br />

(Mestre and Moreno 2008). The program to calculate SPI uses climatic data from the National<br />

Climatic Data Base, as well as daily rainfall data obtained in quasi-real time from the synoptical<br />

stations network. The resulting products are SPI tables and graphics representing sites and<br />

basins over several accumulation periods ranging from one month to one year, with the aim <strong>of</strong><br />

evaluating drought at different time scales. The drought module has been developed as an<br />

independent module in the framework <strong>of</strong> the National Water Balance. Climate data as well as daily<br />

precipitation data entering in quasi-real time are its input data.<br />

The operational application allows the monthly generation <strong>of</strong> a set <strong>of</strong> graphics and tabulated<br />

products related to the SPI for periods ranging from 1 month to 3 years. Input data for this<br />

application are local data from AEMET’s synoptic stations plus precipitation volumes calculated for<br />

the main hydrographic basins. Monthly series <strong>of</strong> precipitation for a total <strong>of</strong> 90 synoptic stations and<br />

monthly series <strong>of</strong> mean areal precipitation for the 12 geographical areas defined by the broader<br />

Spanish water basins are used as basic information for the system. For the stations, the data are<br />

obtained from the National Climate Database, and the gaps have been filled by interpolation in the<br />

corresponding monthly grid. For each water basin, data are obtained from the precipitation volume<br />

series that started in 1947. Recent data come from the AEMET National Water Balance.<br />

Precipitation volumes are estimated by integrating precipitation data into the 0.16º grid.<br />

Subsequently, these provisional volumes are replaced by more precise estimations once<br />

precipitation data from the whole set <strong>of</strong> AEMET’s climatological stations are available in the<br />

National Climate Database (usually with a delay <strong>of</strong> 1-2 months).<br />

From monthly precipitation series, the accumulated values for periods ranging from 1 month to 36<br />

months are assessed. Data for every month, station, or water basin are fitted to a gamma<br />

distribution to get the corresponding series <strong>of</strong> SPI values. On the AEMET web page (internal<br />

page), the SPI values appear separately for every station and water basin. For accumulation times<br />

<strong>of</strong> 1, 3, and 6 months (representative <strong>of</strong> a short temporal scale) and 1, 2, and 3 years<br />

(representative <strong>of</strong> a long temporal scale), there are graphical presentations.<br />

The output <strong>of</strong> this monitoring system is available at the beginning <strong>of</strong> every month on the AEMET<br />

intranet web page as a set <strong>of</strong> products, including SPI maps for different accumulation periods,<br />

calculated from station data (Figure 6) and from averaged precipitation estimated over whole river<br />

basins (Figure 7). Time series with recent index values for stations and basins are also available,<br />

thus allowing a monitoring <strong>of</strong> recent values <strong>of</strong> SPI for different time scales (Figures 8 and 9).<br />

Application <strong>of</strong> the Meteorological <strong>Drought</strong> Monitoring and Analysis System to Two<br />

Outstanding <strong>Drought</strong> Episodes <strong>of</strong> the Last 20 Years<br />

In all regions <strong>of</strong> Spain, there is a high recurrence <strong>of</strong> drought events, which in some cases have<br />

greatly affected the activity <strong>of</strong> various productive sectors and caused important economic losses<br />

and severe environmental damage. The longest drought spell <strong>of</strong> the last 75 years was from 1991<br />

to 1995, and it affected the southern half <strong>of</strong> Spain. The drought monitoring system <strong>of</strong> AEMET has<br />

been applied to analyze the characteristics <strong>of</strong> this drought event as well as the impacts and<br />

response measures.<br />

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