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Agricultural Drought Indices - US Department of Agriculture

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WMO’s Perspectives on <strong>Drought</strong><br />

Given the extensive number <strong>of</strong> activities undertaken, it will be difficult to provide an exhaustive<br />

description <strong>of</strong> WMO’s perspectives on droughts in this short paper. Hence, a short description <strong>of</strong><br />

different perspectives is provided below, using the material from the different publications listed<br />

above.<br />

Understanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>Drought</strong>s and <strong>Drought</strong> Definitions<br />

WMO’s early efforts placed emphasis on many meteorological facets <strong>of</strong> drought, including its<br />

definition and early recognition; its effect on plants, animals, and diseases; and methods <strong>of</strong><br />

surviving under its influence. Clarifications were provided on the distinction between drought and<br />

aridity; the linkage between drought and water balance (soil water, precipitation, dew and fog, and<br />

surface run<strong>of</strong>f); fire hazards; drought, ecological imbalance, and soil erosion; the space and time<br />

characteristics <strong>of</strong> droughts; causes <strong>of</strong> droughts; and forecasting <strong>of</strong> droughts (WMO 1975). Some<br />

detailed studies <strong>of</strong> past droughts suggested that changes in the surface albedo, existence <strong>of</strong> a<br />

deep dust layer in the atmosphere, changes in sea surface temperatures, and an increase <strong>of</strong><br />

carbon dioxide may lead to changes in the general circulation features, which may cause drought<br />

(WMO 1987).<br />

<strong>Drought</strong> definitions used over time vary from region to region and according to the purpose for<br />

which they are defined. A general survey <strong>of</strong> drought definitions has indicated that they can be<br />

classified according to the criteria used. A classification <strong>of</strong> drought definitions was given (WMO<br />

1975) under each <strong>of</strong> the following subheadings:<br />

a) Rainfall<br />

b) Rainfall with mean temperature<br />

c) Soil water and crop parameters<br />

d) Climatic indices and estimates <strong>of</strong> evapotranspiration<br />

e) General definitions and statements<br />

As an example, looking more closely into definitions based solely on rainfall, it was shown that a<br />

number <strong>of</strong> these refer to short period “droughts” or “dry spells” (WMO 1975).<br />

• Less than 2.5 mm in 48 hours<br />

• Rainfall half <strong>of</strong> normal or less for a week<br />

• 10 days with rainfall not exceeding 5 mm<br />

• 15 days with no rain<br />

• 15 consecutive days, none with 0.25 mm<br />

• 15 consecutive days, none with 1 mm<br />

• 21 days or more with rainfall less than 30% <strong>of</strong> normal<br />

• 21 days with precipitation less than one-third <strong>of</strong> normal<br />

These appeared to be geared mainly to climatic experience in the British Isles or perhaps the<br />

northeastern United States, where rainfall is received at fairly frequent intervals and crop and<br />

animal husbandry and water-storage operations are not geared to the long spells <strong>of</strong> rainless<br />

weather that are seasonally normal in the semiarid regions (WMO 1975).<br />

<strong>Agricultural</strong> <strong>Drought</strong> and <strong>Drought</strong> Index<br />

<strong>Agriculture</strong> is <strong>of</strong>ten the first sector to be impacted by drought because access to water resources<br />

and soil moisture reserves determine crop productivity. <strong>Drought</strong> in the agricultural sense does not<br />

begin with the cessation <strong>of</strong> rain, but rather when available stored water will support actual<br />

evapotranspiration at only a small fraction <strong>of</strong> the potential evapotranspiration rate (WMO 1992).<br />

The rate <strong>of</strong> transpiration by a crop depends largely upon the availability <strong>of</strong> soil water as determined<br />

by the root systems <strong>of</strong> crops. In a drought situation, the dearth <strong>of</strong> soil water is <strong>of</strong>ten aggravated by<br />

an increased heat load imposed on the plant by net radiation because <strong>of</strong> less cloudiness and<br />

possibly lower albedo. The deficiency may result either from an unusually small moisture supply or<br />

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