Education Sector Development Program - VLIR-UOS

Education Sector Development Program IV
Higher Education
Enrolment in non government 5% - 15%
institutions
Student/teacher ratio 1:20
(in 2014/15)
Assumptions for cost
All costs are indicated at 2010/11 prices. Unit
costs calculated from available statistics for the
base year (2008/2009) have been updated for
2009/10 and 2010/11 using the same inflation
rate (GDP price index).
Regarding salary costs (teaching and nonteaching
staff), the plan foresees that salaries
remain in line with inflation. Some more detailed
assumptions can be found in Annex 1. Cost
estimates have been added for some specific
programs, including the school feeding program,
scholarships programs, ICT and boarding
facilities. MoFED has also instructed all sector
ministries to include a specific budget for gender
activities; as a result, it has been estimated here
in at 2% of the total sector budget. This share
has therefore been added to the total cost after
all other calculation and is assigned neither to
recurrent nor to capital expenditure nor to federal
or the regional budgets.
The Adult Education program foresees to make
95% of illiterate adults participate in a two-year
FAL course. The total number of illiterate adults
is estimated at 36.4 million by 2014/15. It is
therefore planned that 8.65 m will be inducted
each year for the first four years of the program.
Training cost is estimated at $20 per participant
per year, with the government covering 90% of
this cost.
Total ESDP IV cost
The following tables present the overall cost of
ESDP IV, first in aggregate then by sub-sector.
The total cost is estimated at about 140 billion
birr in Table 5.2. The cost increases steadily
between 2010/11 and 2013/14 before decreasing
slightly in the last year. The increasing trend is
mainly due to increasing recurrent costs as the
system expands. The decrease between 2013/14
and 2014/15 is mainly due to a reduction in capital
costs, both at the federal and regional levels.
Table 5.2: Total cost of ESDP IV (in million birr)
2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 Total
Recurrent
costs
Capital
costs
14,203 19,497 20,272 22,610 23,568 100,150
6,344 8,733 8,366 9,184 7,850 40,477
Total cost 20,547 28,230 28,638 31,794 31,418 140,627
The share of spending per sub-sector and
program during ESDP IV implementation period
is shown in Table 5.3, while Table 5.4 compares
the share of various sub-sectors and programs
between the planned spending for ESDP III and
for ESDP IV.
100