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Update on Merger with Polymetals - Notice of Meeting

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projects. PLY has discounted the total c<strong>on</strong>siderati<strong>on</strong> based <strong>on</strong> its assessed probability <strong>of</strong> the liability being<br />

paid.<br />

AMC has valued the Turner River projects based <strong>on</strong> its current announced resources and stage <strong>of</strong><br />

development. We have excluded the liability as we c<strong>on</strong>sider AMC’s value to reflect the current value <strong>of</strong><br />

the projects and it does not include the potential upside <strong>of</strong> the project’s value if the milest<strong>on</strong>es were to<br />

be met.<br />

11.1.5. NAV multiple<br />

The value per share <strong>of</strong> gold mining companies when valued using the DCF valuati<strong>on</strong> methodology,<br />

including the value <strong>of</strong> explorati<strong>on</strong> assets, is <strong>of</strong>ten lower than the value <strong>of</strong> the trading price per share.<br />

It is comm<strong>on</strong> practice to apply a NAV multiple to the DCF value and value <strong>of</strong> the explorati<strong>on</strong> assets to<br />

arrive at the value <strong>of</strong> a company.<br />

Possible reas<strong>on</strong>s for a difference between the value <strong>of</strong> the mineral assets per share and the traded price<br />

are:<br />

• The potential upside at existing operating or development sites that would allow for an extensi<strong>on</strong><br />

<strong>of</strong> the life <strong>of</strong> mine and higher volumes, outside <strong>of</strong> the announced reserve and resource;<br />

• The potential for actual gold prices exceeding the l<strong>on</strong>g-term forecast prices used in the DCF<br />

valuati<strong>on</strong>s;<br />

• Gold being perceived as a safe asset investment; and<br />

• The value attributable to the str<strong>on</strong>g management <strong>of</strong> a company.<br />

We have analysed a number <strong>of</strong> broker reports reporting <strong>on</strong> ASX listed gold companies <strong>with</strong> their main<br />

operati<strong>on</strong>s in Australia. The broker reports indicated that NAV multiples range between 0.85 and 1.53.<br />

In determining an appropriate NAV multiple to apply to Merged Entity, we have had regard to:<br />

• The funding requirements to realise the value <strong>of</strong> the Marda and Mt Boppy Projects;<br />

• The volatilities <strong>of</strong> SXG and PLY prior to the <strong>Merger</strong>; and<br />

• The proposed management team <strong>of</strong> the Merged Entity.<br />

Based <strong>on</strong> the results <strong>of</strong> our analysis, we c<strong>on</strong>sider a NAV multiple <strong>of</strong> 1.0 to be appropriate for valuing the<br />

Merged Entity.<br />

11.1.6. Sum-<strong>of</strong>-parts value <strong>of</strong> the Merged Entity<br />

We have valued the Merged Entity by combining the sum <strong>of</strong> parts value <strong>of</strong> each <strong>of</strong> SXG and PLY as derived<br />

in secti<strong>on</strong>s 10.1 for SXG and secti<strong>on</strong>s 11.1.1 to 11.1.5 for PLY.<br />

The valuati<strong>on</strong> <strong>of</strong> the Merged Entity has been prepared <strong>on</strong> the basis that the Merged Entity will focus its<br />

cash and resources <strong>on</strong> bringing the Marda Project into producti<strong>on</strong> in 2014 followed by the Mt Boppy<br />

Project in 2015. The Marda and Mt Boppy Project cashflows have been discounted using the forecast<br />

discount rate for the Merged Entity <strong>of</strong> 6.5% as set out in Appendix 3.<br />

66

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