Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study - Stanislaus County

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Economics Appendix – Draft Report - Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study, Stanislaus County, California – September 2012 Table 10: Economic Impact at State Level - LPP IMPLAN No. Industry Sector Sales Jobs Labor Income GRP Direct Effects 26 Mining and quarrying sand, gravel, clay, and ceramic and $1,162,086 6.03 $476,059 $644,603 refractory minerals 319 Wholesale trade businesses $31,555 0.16 $12,028 $20,605 333 Transport by rail $46,614 0.13 $11,698 $27,288 334 Transport by water $11,803 0.02 $2,001 $4,325 335 Transport by truck $634,713 5.50 $233,000 $309,801 36 Construction of other new $308,946 2.03 $133,466 $140,695 nonresidential structures 365 Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment $8,688,047 26.99 $1,865,542 $3,623,037 rental and leasing 5001 Labor $13,902,560 346.59 $13,902,560 $13,902,560 Total Direct Effects $24,786,323 387.46 $16,636,353 $18,672,913 Secondary Effects $27,371,780 196.64 $9,089,473 $15,687,647 Total Effects $52,158,103 584.10 $25,725,826 $34,360,560 Table 11: Economic Impact at National Level - LPP IMPLAN No. Industry Sector Sales Jobs Labor Income GRP Direct Effects 26 Mining and quarrying sand, gravel, clay, and ceramic and $1,430,723 7.43 $590,005 $795,742 refractory minerals 319 Wholesale trade businesses $38,899 0.20 $14,830 $25,405 333 Transport by rail $74,716 0.21 $18,770 $43,784 334 Transport by water $28,805 0.05 $4,956 $10,556 335 Transport by truck $920,961 7.98 $341,881 $454,868 36 Construction of other new $311,634 2.10 $134,650 $141,944 nonresidential structures 365 Commercial and industrial machinery and equipment $9,074,774 28.19 $1,967,745 $3,804,086 rental and leasing 5001 Labor $14,023,530 349.87 $14,023,530 $14,023,530 Total Direct Effects $25,904,042 396.04 $17,096,366 $19,299,916 Secondary Effects $47,577,780 303.90 $14,817,024 $24,832,248 Total Effects $73,481,823 699.94 $31,913,390 $44,132,163 Business Interruptions A review of literature disclosed information which could be used to estimate the relationship between business output/sales and square footage of inundated business. The number of workers per square foot at affected businesses was estimated using data from the Energy Information Administration (2006). Non-residential occupancy types from the structural inventory identified in the damage assessment portion of the economic analysis were matched with the square footage of each business category and divided by the square feet per employee to 86
Economics Appendix – Draft Report - Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study, Stanislaus County, California – September 2012 arrive at the estimated number of employees per business. The business types were matched to IMPLAN sectors and daily production values per employee were taken from IMPLAN estimates. Table 12 displays the Employee and Output (2010$) Relationships for Non-Residential Categories within the 100 year floodplain. Table 12. Employee and Output (2010$) Relationships for Non-Residential Categories Non- Residential Category Principle Business Categories Square Feet per Employee Daily Output Per Employee Number of Affected Employees* C-FOOD Food Sales 877 $209 6.2 C-MED Health Care; Inpatient; Outpatient 501 165 50.6 C-HOTEL Lodging 2,074 265 2.7 C-OFF Office 434 324 82.4 C-REST Food Service 528 159 52.7 C-RET Retail (Other 1,246 115 159.7 than Mall) C-SERV Service 1,105 268 83.8 IND-LT Other 956 921 232.5 IND-WH Warehouse and 2,306 272 72.8 Storage PUB-GOV Public Order and 451 235 68.1 Safety; Office PUB-REC Public Assembly 1,645 132 4.2 PUB-SCH Education 791 153 5.2 *Affected Employees are based on the structures that are inundated under a 100 year flood event. Based on these data and assumptions, the non-residential categories itemized above provided the basis for estimating the square feet per employee and the daily output per employee for the Newman Study area floodplain. The conclusions included the displacement of 821 employees with an average output of $410 per day. Analysis of the structures within the without project floodplain indicates that the depth of flooding ranged primarily from .5 to 1.5 feet. Using the FEMA BCA Tool (2009) which provides the depth-damage function based on the depth of flooding versus the business interruption, the number of business interruption days were estimated at 30 to 60 days. Accordingly, business interruption was estimated between $10 and $20 million for a 100-year event flood. Both the NED and LPP are expected to provide flood risk reduction which is capable of preventing damages to businesses in Newman, California should a 1% flood event occur. 87
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Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study - Stanislaus County

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