Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study - Stanislaus County

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Economics Appendix – Draft Report - Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study, Stanislaus County, California – September 2012 Table 1 Population Estimates for Cities, Counties and State, 2001-2009 with 2000 Benchmark COUNTY/CITY 4/1/2000 1/1/2002 1/1/2004 1/1/2006 1/1/2008 1/1/2009 Stanislaus County Ceres 34,609 35,800 37,470 40,723 42,520 42,998 Hughson 3,980 4,249 5,250 6,092 6,144 6,193 Modesto 188,861 199,426 206,908 206,993 208,497 210,088 Newman 7,092 7,567 8,340 10,084 10,510 10,739 Oakdale 15,503 16,283 17,178 17,761 19,205 19,608 Patterson 11,606 13,079 14,221 19,171 21,090 21,168 Riverbank 15,826 17,072 18,261 21,099 21,606 21,805 Turlock 55,811 60,484 64,434 67,519 69,689 70,256 Waterford 6,924 7,194 7,883 8,171 8,703 8,816 Balance Of County 106,785 111,106 113,701 114,004 114,349 114,712 Incorporated 340,212 361,154 379,945 397,613 407,964 411,671 County Total 446,997 472,260 493,646 511,617 522,313 526,383 Source: California Department of Finance, Demographics Section Many unincorporated places are located in the predominately rural areas within Stanislaus County. A sense of small town pride and informal communications network is evident throughout the area. Fourteen unincorporated places are included in the 2000 Census. They include Salida (pop 2,560); West Modesto (pop 6,096); Shackelford (pop 5,170); Bret Harte, (pop 5,161); Keyes (pop 4,575); Bystrom (pop 4,518); Empire (pop 3,903); Denair (pop 3,446); East Oakdale (pop 2,742); Del Rio (pop 1,168); Park (pop 1.094); Grayson (pop 1,077); Westley (pop 747); and Hickman (pop 457). Stanislaus County has seen a significant increase in population over the past decade. Review of the State census reveals that three cities within the County rank within the top 30 Cities experiencing the highest percentage of growth. The cities of Patterson and Hughson have seen growth over the past decade of 82.4 and 55.6 percent respectively. Newman has seen a 51.4 percent increase in population from April 2000 to January 2009. Much of the increase can be justified by recognizing that a significant portion of the increase in population work in more urbanized settings but choose to live in the rural, relatively lower cost areas that are within commuting distance. COMMUTERS According to 2000 Census data, 35,640 of the County’s workers commuted to other counties for employment and 19,427 workers who lived in other counties commuted to Stanislaus County daily. This data suggests that Stanislaus County provides affordable residential opportunities for workers having employment in the San Francisco Bay Area and larger metropolitan areas. The main counties for 92
Economics Appendix – Draft Report - Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study, Stanislaus County, California – September 2012 commuters from Stanislaus County were San Joaquin (13,993 workers), Alameda (6,840 workers), and Santa Clara (3,822 workers). An estimated 8,827 workers commute into Stanislaus County daily and an estimated 4,962 workers leave Stanislaus County to work in Merced. (US Census Bureau 2000). The mean commute time experienced by commuters living in Newman is 36.6 minutes with approximately 26.2 percent carpooling. Based on the data below one could infer that some of the communities, including Newman, had experienced growth due the influx of people working in the Bay area seeking affordable housing. Table 2 Number of Stanislaus Commuters Traveling to and from Selected Counties County Commuting Commuting Net Daily Daily from Daily to Outflow Listed County Listed County Sacramento 393 749 356 Contra Costa 174 996 822 Alameda 342 6,840 6,498 Santa Clara 169 3,822 3,653 Merced 8,827 4,962 - 3,865 Fresno 234 278 44 Mariposa 311 37 - 274 Tuolumne 887 483 - 404 Calaveras 305 108 - 197 San Joaquin 6,640 13,993 7,353 Total 19,427 35,640 16,213 Data from the California Employment Development Department collected from US Census, 2000 93
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Orestimba Creek Feasibility Study - Stanislaus County

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