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seed needs for next year and for possible sale<br />

to other farmers.<br />

It is extremely difficult to predict the area<br />

that will be planted to the Mexican varieties<br />

in 1970-71 since this will be in a large part<br />

a function of seed availability. However, it is<br />

not unreasonable to expect .that 45,000 to<br />

50,000 hectares will be seeded to these varieties,<br />

although the large areas which will be<br />

seeded with uncertified farmer seed will make<br />

verification nearly impossible.<br />

The widespread use of the dwarf bread<br />

wheat varieties raises the possibility of a serious<br />

problem within the next few years. Such<br />

a problem may result from the high yielding<br />

bread wheat varieties replacing durum varieties<br />

and thereby upsetting the long-time balance<br />

between these wheat types. Given the<br />

enormous qemand for durum for production of<br />

couscous (the staple dish of the Moroccan<br />

diet), it is essential to develop in the near<br />

future semi-dwarf durums capable of competing<br />

with the high yielding bread wheat varieties.<br />

Efforts along this line will receive maximum<br />

attention in the breeding programs now<br />

underway. Otherwise, Morocco could find itself<br />

in five years with a surplus of bread wheat<br />

and a shortage of du rum wheat, just the opposite<br />

of the present situation.<br />

Production Research<br />

It is evident that a high degree of variation<br />

in yield from year to year will continue to be<br />

a normal situation in wheat production in Morocco.<br />

The dryland wheat regions are largely<br />

areas of shallow soils, often less than 50 cm<br />

in depth, making agriculture susceptible to the<br />

highly variable rainfall patterns. In contrast<br />

to similar climatic areas such as those of the<br />

American Pacific Northwest where research<br />

has learned to adapt fertilization and management<br />

practice to measurable moisture parameters,<br />

Morocco's shallow soils and shorter<br />

wheat season make such adaptive practices<br />

more difficult.<br />

However, the development of proper management<br />

practices combined with better varieties<br />

can decrease this variability from year<br />

to year while increasing average yields. Two<br />

years of varietal demonstration conducted by<br />

the wheat project in cooperation with the extension<br />

service have shown repeatedly two<br />

things: (1) the local varieties have a genetic<br />

yield potential of 30 quintals/ha under good<br />

management; (2) it is absolutely necessary to<br />

push yields above this level to demonstrate<br />

the clearcut genetic superiority of the Mexican<br />

varieties. Unfortunately many uncontrolable<br />

variables in the package of practices recom-<br />

A large demonstration campaign is being carried out with farmers in Morocco involving new wheats and<br />

production practices. Dr. H. D. Floyd, USAID, and farmer cooperator supervise harvest of one of these<br />

demonstrations in the Casablanca area.

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