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1 Spatial Modelling of the Terrestrial Environment - Georeferencial

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112 <strong>Spatial</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Terrestrial</strong> <strong>Environment</strong><br />

characteristics (e.g. surface, crown and ground fires). Similarly with approaches to erosion<br />

modelling, both empirical and physically based models have been developed, with<br />

<strong>the</strong> semi-empirical fire spread model <strong>of</strong> Ro<strong>the</strong>rmel (1972) attaining <strong>the</strong> most widespread<br />

use. More recently <strong>the</strong> secondary effects <strong>of</strong> fires on <strong>the</strong> atmosphere, hydrology, ecology<br />

and geomorphology <strong>of</strong> affected regions have started to be modelled, as has <strong>the</strong> economic<br />

impact. Many <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se models are empirical (or contain significantly empirical elements)<br />

because our understanding <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fine detail <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> way fire affects atmosphere, vegetation<br />

and soil systems is <strong>of</strong>ten poorly understood. Fur<strong>the</strong>r research is needed into both process<br />

understanding and model development.<br />

The development <strong>of</strong> GIS brought <strong>the</strong> first attempts to spatially predict fire growth, however,<br />

it was soon realized that <strong>the</strong> spatial data needed to parameterize such models were not<br />

available and would be extremely hard to collect. Developments in remote sensing have<br />

alleviated this problem to a certain extent and methods are being developed that allow fire<br />

detection, assessment <strong>of</strong> burnt areas, fuel load and fuel moisture content. This information<br />

has, in some cases, been integrated with models. For example, burnt area estimates derived<br />

from remote sensing have been used to provide important inputs into models that predict<br />

<strong>the</strong> quantity <strong>of</strong> carbon emitted by fires and <strong>the</strong> quantity <strong>of</strong> soil eroded after <strong>the</strong>se events.<br />

Though such models provide a significant advance, it has been shown that factors such<br />

as errors in estimated fuel load can introduce a large amount <strong>of</strong> uncertainty. Therefore,<br />

new methods to accurately derive such parameters are needed. In <strong>the</strong> final chapter in this<br />

Part (Chapter 9), Wooster et al. introduce a new remote sensing method that holds great<br />

potential in directly measuring <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> biomass combusted by <strong>the</strong> passage <strong>of</strong> a fire.<br />

They introduce a method that models <strong>the</strong> total amount <strong>of</strong> energy emitted by <strong>the</strong> fire, and<br />

show both empirically and <strong>the</strong>oretically that this can be related to <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> biomass<br />

combusted and gases emitted. The method holds great promise in overcoming some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

current limitations to <strong>the</strong> implementation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> fire models outlined above over large areas.<br />

References<br />

Bagnold, R.A., 1941, The Physics <strong>of</strong> Blown Sand and Desert Dunes (New York: Methuen).<br />

Fons, W.L., 1946, Analysis <strong>of</strong> fire spread in light forest fuels, Journal <strong>of</strong> Agricultural Research, 72,<br />

93–121.<br />

Gay, S.P., 1962, Origen distribución y movimiento de las arenas eólicas en el área de Yauca a palpa,<br />

Boletín de la Sociedad del Peru, 27, 37–58.<br />

Ro<strong>the</strong>rmel, R.C., 1972, A Ma<strong>the</strong>matical Model for Predicting Fire Spread in Wildland Fuels, USDA<br />

Forest Service Research Paper INT-115.<br />

Wischmeier, W.H. and Smith, D.D., 1958, Rainfall energy and its relationship to soil loss, Transactions<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> American Geophysical Union, 39, 285–291.<br />

Woodruff, N.P. and Siddoway, F.H., 1965, A wind erosion equation, Proceedings <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Soil Science<br />

Society <strong>of</strong> America, 29, 602–608.<br />

Zingg, A.W., 1940, Degree and length <strong>of</strong> slope as it affects soil loss run<strong>of</strong>f, Agricultural Engineering,<br />

21, 59–64.

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