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1 Spatial Modelling of the Terrestrial Environment - Georeferencial

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166 <strong>Spatial</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Terrestrial</strong> <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Figure 8.2 Erosion for <strong>the</strong> three decads <strong>of</strong> April 1998<br />

substantial rainfall, overland flow and erosion in <strong>the</strong> catchment itself. The nor<strong>the</strong>rn region<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Lake Tanganyika catchment centred on Rwanda and Burundi suffered severe erosion<br />

and was a likely source <strong>of</strong> lake sediments. When it is considered that slopes are high in<br />

<strong>the</strong>se regions, that <strong>the</strong>y tend to be densely populated, and thus vegetation cover is being<br />

reduced by human interference, it goes a long way to explaining <strong>the</strong> high erosion predicted<br />

in <strong>the</strong>se regions. Thus erosion is largely restricted to <strong>the</strong> mountainous regions; however, not<br />

all mountains produce erosion, presumably because some possess high vegetation cover.<br />

Though we only have results for a single month, <strong>the</strong>se erosion estimates suggest that <strong>the</strong>re<br />

are a few key regions in Rwanda, Burundi and <strong>the</strong> Democratic Republic <strong>of</strong> Congo that are<br />

prone to erosion. Some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se regions have already been deforested and degraded (i.e.,<br />

those in Burundi) and have <strong>the</strong> potential to produce significant sediment input to <strong>the</strong> lake.<br />

In <strong>the</strong>se areas <strong>the</strong> model suggests that alleviation measures could be considered. However,<br />

before this is done, <strong>the</strong> model results need fur<strong>the</strong>r evaluation and validation. It is interesting<br />

to note that a number <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> regions <strong>of</strong> highest sediment yield are located in areas that are<br />

cloud covered throughout much <strong>of</strong> April, so vegetation cover estimates in <strong>the</strong>se regions<br />

are uncertain and thus <strong>the</strong> erosion results should be treated with caution. This problem

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