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1 Spatial Modelling of the Terrestrial Environment - Georeferencial

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176 <strong>Spatial</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong>Terrestrial</strong> <strong>Environment</strong><br />

Fires have a range <strong>of</strong> environmental effects across multiple scales in time and space.<br />

For example, fires at <strong>the</strong> local scale significantly reduce <strong>the</strong> vegetation cover, and more<br />

intense fires may completely remove all above-ground vegetation. At <strong>the</strong> appropriate time<br />

and place such processes maybe advantageous, for example, in rapidly returning nutrients<br />

to <strong>the</strong> soils after grassland senescence, or by keeping forest surface litter levels low so as<br />

to reduce <strong>the</strong> likelihood <strong>of</strong> larger, more intense fires that may kill normally fire-tolerant<br />

vegetation. Fur<strong>the</strong>rmore, <strong>the</strong> reproductive biology <strong>of</strong> many species in fire-prone systems is<br />

closely related to fire activity (Whelan, 1995), with, for example, heat or chemicals in <strong>the</strong><br />

smoke emitted by <strong>the</strong> fire triggering flowering and/or seed release (Enright et al., 1997).<br />

Additionally, <strong>the</strong> nutrient-rich post-fire ash bed may be important for <strong>the</strong> establishment <strong>of</strong><br />

seedlings in certain systems. However, at <strong>the</strong> local scale, fires can also alter <strong>the</strong> species<br />

makeup and ecology <strong>of</strong> an area and render <strong>the</strong> underlying soils more prone to erosion<br />

(Johansen, 2001). In extreme cases dramatically altered fire regimes may cause <strong>the</strong> local<br />

extinction <strong>of</strong> some species (Keith, 1996), whilst at <strong>the</strong> regional scale fire may also have<br />

significant ecological effects, resulting in altered flows <strong>of</strong> energy and matter through <strong>the</strong><br />

landscape and <strong>the</strong> generation <strong>of</strong> spatially complex mosaic patterns (Turner et al., 1994,<br />

1997). At <strong>the</strong>se regional scales, <strong>the</strong> particulates and gases released during burning can<br />

concentrate at levels far beyond recognized safe human health limits, leading to hazardous<br />

visibility and poor air quality. A high-pr<strong>of</strong>ile example <strong>of</strong> regional-scale fire-related pollution<br />

occurred during <strong>the</strong> 1997–1998 fires in SE Asia, when an El Niño-related drought allowed<br />

fires to become much more intense and widespread than is normally <strong>the</strong> case, and which<br />

also significantly reduced <strong>the</strong> incidence <strong>of</strong> ‘cleaning’ <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> atmosphere by rainfall (Wooster<br />

and Strub, 2002). The widespread haze blanketed areas <strong>of</strong> SE Asia for weeks and resulted in<br />

regional economic losses <strong>of</strong> more than $1.4 billion, exposing more than 20 million people to<br />

potentially dangerous levels <strong>of</strong> air pollution (Brown, 1998; Schwei<strong>the</strong>lm, 1998). Such is <strong>the</strong><br />

magnitude <strong>of</strong> fire activity on Earth, particularly in <strong>the</strong> tropics, that pyrogenic gaseous and<br />

particulate emissions are now recognized to be highly significant at <strong>the</strong> global scale, where<br />

Earth’s atmospheric chemistry, cloud and rainfall characteristics, and radiative budget are<br />

all influenced by <strong>the</strong> combustion products (Rosenfeld, 1999; Andreae and Merlet, 2001;<br />

Chou et al., 2002).<br />

Clearly, for <strong>the</strong> above reasons, biomass burning and pyrogenic emissions must be rigorously<br />

considered when analysing <strong>the</strong> effect <strong>of</strong> wildfires on Earth’s surface and atmosphere<br />

(Beniston et al., 2000). As such, <strong>the</strong> quantification <strong>of</strong> biomass burning activity is now a<br />

major focus in <strong>the</strong> global change community and <strong>the</strong> large-scale, repetitive measurements<br />

required to quantify terrestrial fire activity mean Earth Observation (EO) satellites have<br />

been identified as a key technology for <strong>the</strong> study <strong>of</strong> pyrogenic activity and <strong>the</strong> assessment<br />

<strong>of</strong> emissions (Robinson, 1991). However, whilst <strong>the</strong> emission <strong>of</strong> certain chemical species<br />

and particulates can in <strong>the</strong>ory be examined directly through <strong>the</strong> use <strong>of</strong> EO (Kaufman et al.,<br />

1990; Goode et al., 2000; Kita et al., 2000; Kaufman et al., 2002), not all species are easily<br />

inventoried in this way. Instead <strong>the</strong> majority <strong>of</strong> EO-based studies <strong>of</strong> fire emissions have<br />

been limited to mapping <strong>the</strong> location <strong>of</strong> active fires or burnt areas (Scholes et al., 1996),<br />

with little information provided on <strong>the</strong> fire physical characteristics such as fire intensity,<br />

rate <strong>of</strong> spread, etc. The absence <strong>of</strong> this information has been highlighted as a potential<br />

problem in certain studies <strong>of</strong> fire ecology (Whelan, 1995; Morrison, 2002), as has <strong>the</strong> reliance<br />

on maps <strong>of</strong> burnt area to estimate <strong>the</strong> amount <strong>of</strong> biomass combusted in <strong>the</strong> fire event<br />

(Andrea and Merlet, 2001). This is because <strong>the</strong> relationship between remotely measured

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