ISSUE 182 : Jul/Aug - 2010 - Australian Defence Force Journal

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NOTES1. Benjamin Franklin, Poor Richard’s Almanack, June 1758, preface, although the proverb popularlydates to the unhorsing of King Richard III at the Battle of Bosworthy in August 1485.2. M. Van Creveld, Supplying War: logistics from Wallenstein to Patton, Cambridge: CambridgeUniversity Press, 1977, pp. 8-11.3. R.S. Keats, ‘Transition to Modern Seafaring’, American Society of Oceanographers Journal, Vol. 11,No. 1, pp. 3-4; see accessed 29November 2009.4. T. Homer-Dixon, ‘Synchronous Failure: Crash and Creativity in the 21 st Century’, paper presentedto the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, Montreal, March 2004, p. 8; see accessed 13 October 2009.5. J. Tainter, The Collapse of Complex Societies, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1988.6. M. Simmons, ‘The Oil and Gas System is Sick’, address to The Colony Club, New York, 4 February2009, pp. 50-1; see accessed 15 October 2009.7. N. Freier, ‘Known Unknowns: Unconventional “Strategic Shocks” in Defense Strategy Development’,paper prepared for Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College, November 2008, pp. 1-5; see accessed 13 October 2009.8. Energy Watch Group, ‘Crude Oil: The Supply Outlook’, report October 2007, pp. 33-6; see accessed 3 September 2009.9. British Petroleum, ‘BP Statistical Review of World Energy’, on-line report published 2009; see accessed 2 September 2009.10. For example, despite historically high oil prices in the period 2005-08, oil exports from the world’stop 15 oil exporters, who provide over 90 per cent of all oil exports, have declined since 2005according to data reported by the US Energy Information Administration (US Department of Energy);see . Additionally, Jeffrey Brown and Samuel Foucher argue that oilexports will decline more rapidly than oil production, with the top five oil exporters approachingzero net exports by 2031 (+/- 7 years). See J. Brown and S. Foucher, ‘A Quantitative Assessment ofFuture Net Oil Exports by the Top Five Net Oil Exports’, report on Financial Sense University websitedated 8 January 2008; see accessed 16 September 2009.11. M. Hook, R. Hirsch and K. Aleklett, ‘Giant oil field decline rates and their influence on world oilproduction’, Energy Policy, Vol. 37, Issue 6, June 2009, pp. 2262-72: see accessed 3 September 2009.12. N. Gagnon, C. Hall and B. Brinker, ‘A Preliminary Investigation of Energy Return on Energy Investmentfor Global Oil and Gas Production’, Energies, Vol. 2, 2009, pp. 490-503; see accessed 30 September 2009.13. ‘Exergy’ is the correct thermodynamic term for available or useful energy, or energy capable ofperforming mechanical, chemical or thermal work.14. G.M. Mudd, ‘The Sustainability of Mining in Australia: Key Production Trends and TheirEnvironmental Implications for the Future’, Research Report No. 5, published by the Department ofCivil Engineering, Monash University and the Mineral Policy Institute, April 2009 (revised edition);see accessed 21 August 2009.54
15. U. Bardi and M. Pagani, ‘Peak Minerals’, blog posted 15 October 2007 on ‘The Oil Drum, Europe’website; see accessed 21 August 2009.16. D. Cohen, ‘Earth’s Natural Wealth: An Audit’, New Scientist, Issue 2605, May 2007; see accessed 21August 2007.17. J.B. Hedrick, ‘Rare Earths in Selected US Defense Applications’, paper presented to 40 th Forum onthe Geology of Industrial Metals, Bloomington, Indiana, 2-7 May 2004; see accessed 7 October 2009.18. K. Bradsher, ‘China Tightens Grip on Rare Minerals’, New York Times, 31 August 2009; see accessed 3 September 2009.19. K. Rudd, ‘Pain on the Road to Recovery’, Sydney Morning Herald, 25 July 2009; see accessed 21 August 2009.20. S. Keen, ‘RBA gets it wrong again’, blog on ‘Steve Keen’s Debtwatch’ website 6 October 2009; see accessed 7 October2009.21. C.I. Jones, ‘The Global Financial Crisis of 2007-20??’, supplement dated 12 March 2009 to C.I. Jones,Macroeconomics, Pittsburgh: Norton, 2008, p. 43; see accessed 15September 2009.22. A. Evans-Pritchard, ‘US credit shrinks at Great Depression rate prompting fears of double-diprecession’, The Daily Telegraph, 25 September 2008; see accessed 7 October 2009.23. For example, see J. Hamilton, ‘Causes and Consequences of the Oil Shock of 2007-08’, BrookingsPapers on Economic Activity, 2009; see accessed5 September 2009.24. The GFC has had a significant impact on energy investment. See, for example, International EnergyAgency, ‘The Impact of the Financial and Economic Crisis on Energy Investment’, background paperfor the G8 Energy Ministers’ Meeting 24-5 May 2009, pp. 3-4 at accessed 8 September 2009.25. Homer-Dixon, ‘Synchronous Failure: Crash and Creativity in the 21 st Century’, p. 3.26. J.M. Greer, ‘The dawn of scarcity industrialism’, Energy Bulletin (website of Post Carbon Institute), 3September 2009; see accessed 13 October 2009.27. R. Heinberg, Peak Everything: waking up to the century of declines, Gabriola Island, Canada: NewSociety Publishers, 2007, p. 8.28. D. Korowicz, ‘Things Fall Apart: Complexity, Supply Chains, Infrastructure and Collapse’, presentationto ASPO/The Oil Drum Peak Summit, Alcatraz, Italy, 28 June 2009; see accessed 3 September 2009.29. For a detailed analysis of the impact of peak oil on the future of Australia’s aviation, see C. Leckieand S. McCarthy, ‘Peak Oil and the National Aviation Policy Statement Green Paper’, submissionto the Department of Infrastructure, Transport, Regional Development and Local Government, 27February 2009; see accessed 6September 2009.55
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Australian Defence ForceCONTENTSISS
Page 5 and 6: asics of the ADF’s approach to wa
Page 7 and 8: Oceanography and Force 2030: harnes
Page 9 and 10: The warm, relatively fresh waters o
Page 11 and 12: In a further example, the Australia
Page 13 and 14: Direct threats include maritime ter
Page 15 and 16: Commodore Rod Nairn is a career hyd
Page 17 and 18: Institute of Marine Science, $80m i
Page 19 and 20: The nature of casualties presenting
Page 21 and 22: Contracted solutions in less hostil
Page 23 and 24: Planning implications of increased
Page 25 and 26: When a nation is at war, it is acce
Page 27 and 28: NOTES1. Doug Brooks, ‘Role of pri
Page 29 and 30: the further from Stanley the landin
Page 34 and 35: 20. Comisión de Análisis y Evalua
Page 36 and 37: Coral Sea neighbours - then and now
Page 38 and 39: sources. In contrast, such trade be
Page 40 and 41: New Caledonia’s significance toda
Page 42 and 43: years, it was often perceived—by
Page 44 and 45: NOTES1. K. Mushakoji quoted in R. A
Page 46 and 47: Lasers or Longbows? A Paradox of Mi
Page 48 and 49: Military complexityAs military capa
Page 50 and 51: accounts for 93 per cent of the pro
Page 52 and 53: The paradox of military technology
Page 54 and 55: fleet is massive, with sustainment
Page 58 and 59: 30. D. Korowicz, ‘Things Fall Apa
Page 60 and 61: This new capability provides techni
Page 62 and 63: ‘Reaching back’ for information
Page 64 and 65: Figure 2. Chart summarising an exam
Page 66 and 67: Fast OR typically uses established
Page 68 and 69: the results produced. For example,
Page 70 and 71: of findings if very short time-scal
Page 72 and 73: Dr Tim McKay is Head of the DSTO Op
Page 74 and 75: strategic documents signed by the U
Page 76 and 77: • Strategic Command (STRATCOM), t
Page 78 and 79: Geographic Combatant Commands in th
Page 80 and 81: 8. This evolution and expansion can
Page 82 and 83: 27. In particular, in contrast to t
Page 84 and 85: Nevertheless, it can be argued that
Page 86 and 87: Proposed conceptThe proposed networ
Page 88 and 89: organisations could deploy at short
Page 91 and 92: The PacificHugh AmbroseText Publish
Page 93 and 94: Bloody Victory: the sacrifice on th
Page 95 and 96: Somme as critical to the forging of
Page 97 and 98: Command and Control: the sociotechn
Page 99 and 100: Human Factors Issues in Combat Iden
Page 101 and 102: The Canadian paper on CAS (Chapter
Page 103 and 104: The Ashgate Research Companion to M
Page 105 and 106: There is also a chapter on early vo
Page 107 and 108:
The authors’ chief vulnerability
Page 109 and 110:
Books of this genre are intended to
Page 111 and 112:
The ninth chapter is entitled ‘To
Page 113 and 114:
Many members of the ADF may honestl
Page 115:
GUIDANCE FOR AUTHORSThe Australian
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ISSUE 182 : Jul/Aug - 2010 - Australian Defence Force Journal

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