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The Ethics of Banking: Conclusions from the Financial Crisis (Issues ...

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130 9 <strong>Financial</strong> Wagers, Hyper-Speculation and Shareholder Primacy<br />

<strong>The</strong> similarity between types <strong>of</strong> wager must not, however, mask <strong>the</strong> fact that<br />

<strong>the</strong> character and effects <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> said wagers are highly disparate. <strong>The</strong> knowledgeenlarging<br />

wager is value-adding and a positive sum game, whereas <strong>the</strong> chancedriven<br />

wager is non-value-adding and a zero-sum game. <strong>The</strong> differentiation between<br />

<strong>the</strong> wager and <strong>the</strong> game <strong>of</strong> chance allows a distinction to be made between <strong>the</strong><br />

acceptable form <strong>of</strong> investment with a speculative element, and mere chance-based<br />

gambling. <strong>The</strong> foundation and justification <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> differing definition and valuation<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> types <strong>of</strong> wager mentioned are <strong>the</strong> different degrees to which <strong>the</strong> wagerer’s<br />

skills and knowledge influence <strong>the</strong> outcome <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> wager, and <strong>the</strong> different degrees<br />

to which <strong>the</strong> different types <strong>of</strong> wagers contribute to value-creation in <strong>the</strong> economy.<br />

Although <strong>the</strong> element <strong>of</strong> luck plays a role in every wager, and hence also in speculative<br />

investment, <strong>the</strong> knowledge and prosperity-enhancing corporate wager in market<br />

competition represents an unavoidable and value-creating element <strong>of</strong> capitalism,<br />

indeed <strong>of</strong> every form <strong>of</strong> economic system, whereas this cannot be upheld for <strong>the</strong><br />

chance-based wager.<br />

<strong>The</strong> speculative element is also legitimate in wagers on corporate strategies,<br />

because without speculative entrepreneurial thinking, no new products and<br />

forms <strong>of</strong> production can be invented and put into practice. 20 Intel’s one billiondollar<br />

wager on a new type <strong>of</strong> microchip is a good example <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> speculative<br />

character <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> strategies <strong>of</strong> modern technology firms. It is <strong>the</strong>refore useful<br />

to maintain <strong>the</strong> distinction and differing legitimacy <strong>of</strong> chance-based games and<br />

wagers, without denying that even in games <strong>of</strong> chance <strong>the</strong>re is an element <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong><br />

wager.<br />

<strong>The</strong> Functional and <strong>the</strong> Dysfunctional Extent<br />

<strong>of</strong> <strong>Financial</strong> Wagers on Derivatives<br />

<strong>Financial</strong> wagers differ <strong>from</strong> games <strong>of</strong> chance only when <strong>the</strong>y demonstrably provide<br />

some economic functionality, or a contribution to value-creation such as hedging,<br />

market liquidity, or arbitrage. But even if such functionality is present, that in itself<br />

is not sufficient to determine what volume <strong>of</strong> financial wagers is useful and valuecreating.<br />

Even if financial wagers are demonstrably useful for <strong>the</strong> financial markets,<br />

more wagers may be placed than are necessary for this purpose, and <strong>the</strong> excess<br />

<strong>of</strong> wagers may not only be non-functional and inappropriate to <strong>the</strong> purpose, but<br />

may even be detrimental. <strong>The</strong> escalation <strong>of</strong> financial wagers to a dysfunctional scale<br />

encourages financial wagers <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> gambling type and shifts <strong>the</strong> financial markets for<br />

<strong>the</strong>se wagers in <strong>the</strong> direction <strong>of</strong> an arena for games <strong>of</strong> chance. Excessive financial<br />

wagers create excessive liquidity in <strong>the</strong> markets, which only serves <strong>the</strong> gambling<br />

motive and increases price fluctuations.<br />

<strong>The</strong> rule for options is <strong>the</strong>refore: if options are to fulfill <strong>the</strong>ir function for<br />

hedging and arbitrage, for <strong>the</strong> fulfillment <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se functions a certain extent <strong>of</strong><br />

20 On speculation, cf. also HANNS LEISKOW: Spekulation und öffentliche Meinung in der ersten<br />

Hälfte der 19. Jahrhunderts (Speculation and public opinion in <strong>the</strong> first half <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> 19 th century),<br />

Jena (Gustav Fischer) 1930.

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