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The Ethics of Banking: Conclusions from the Financial Crisis (Issues ...

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<strong>The</strong> Principle <strong>of</strong> Shareholder Primacy and Hyper-Speculation 145<br />

and infallible result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> actual performance <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> manager and <strong>the</strong> firm, but <strong>the</strong><br />

result <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir performance as perceived by <strong>the</strong> stock market and <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>ir policy <strong>of</strong><br />

intimating <strong>the</strong>ir own success in <strong>the</strong>ir communications with <strong>the</strong> stock market.<br />

Equally, <strong>the</strong> speculative element in share prices and hence in shareholder<br />

value makes it problematic to make executive remuneration too dependent on <strong>the</strong><br />

development <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> firm’s share price.<br />

If a firm’s shares register a gain in value due to pure stock-exchange speculation<br />

about <strong>the</strong> firm’s share price, <strong>the</strong> enhancement in income that management receives<br />

<strong>from</strong> share options and similar arrangements, as a result <strong>of</strong> such speculation, is<br />

unjustified since <strong>the</strong>y are not <strong>the</strong> ones who caused <strong>the</strong> increase in <strong>the</strong> share price.<br />

Ano<strong>the</strong>r question is whe<strong>the</strong>r or not it is justified to reward an average rise in a<br />

firm’s share price with an above-average uplift in income for management by <strong>the</strong><br />

mechanism <strong>of</strong> executive equity plans.<br />

One <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> most important effects <strong>of</strong> shareholder value as a control principle<br />

and disciplining method is to ensure that <strong>the</strong> firm makes pr<strong>of</strong>its in every period,<br />

which effectively regulates <strong>the</strong> time-structure and time-preference <strong>of</strong> investments.<br />

Rappaport 40 demonstrates this effect <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> shareholder-value principle, which can<br />

be seen as one <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> principle’s main beneficial effects with regard to corporate<br />

performance and dividend policy. <strong>The</strong> shareholder-value criterion forces <strong>the</strong> firm<br />

to ensure, each and every year, that <strong>the</strong> year’s investments in <strong>the</strong> firm have been<br />

pr<strong>of</strong>itable, and this requirement in turn ensures that a dividend is paid each and<br />

every year.<br />

Rappaport points out that if <strong>the</strong> firm is going to generate positive capital gains<br />

above <strong>the</strong> market interest rate in <strong>the</strong> future periods, <strong>the</strong>oretically, it would make<br />

sense not to pay any dividend at all in <strong>the</strong> present. In that scenario, all pr<strong>of</strong>its should<br />

be retained within <strong>the</strong> firm because <strong>the</strong>y will guarantee higher earnings in <strong>the</strong> future<br />

if <strong>the</strong>y accumulate in <strong>the</strong> firm ra<strong>the</strong>r than being paid out as dividends.<br />

However, <strong>the</strong> shareholder-value criterion prohibits this option by countering <strong>the</strong><br />

proposition that pr<strong>of</strong>its should be retained within <strong>the</strong> firm for <strong>the</strong> purposes <strong>of</strong> selffinancing<br />

and equity accumulation with a very simple argument: if <strong>the</strong> firm stops<br />

paying dividends, <strong>the</strong> shareholders will go elsewhere. But this outward impression<br />

<strong>of</strong> shareholder disloyalty masks a deeper insight: whatever management says about<br />

its plans for future earnings and dividends that are retained in <strong>the</strong> firm ra<strong>the</strong>r than<br />

distributed, <strong>the</strong> shareholders can never be certain that it is true; nor can <strong>the</strong>y be<br />

certain whe<strong>the</strong>r it will come true, since <strong>the</strong> overall economic situation can change<br />

over <strong>the</strong> subsequent 3 years, with <strong>the</strong> result that pr<strong>of</strong>its retained in <strong>the</strong> firm for 3<br />

years may suddenly vanish in year four. In ei<strong>the</strong>r case, no gain will accrue to <strong>the</strong><br />

shareholder – nor, indeed, to <strong>the</strong> firm – <strong>from</strong> agreeing to wait. 41<br />

40 A. RAPPAPORT: Shareholder Value. Wertsteigerung als Maßstab für die Unternehmensführung,<br />

Stuttgart (Schäffer-Poeschel) 1995, pp. 27ff. Original: Creating Shareholder Value. <strong>The</strong> New<br />

Standard for Business Performance, New York (<strong>The</strong> Free Press) 1986.<br />

41 Cf. GÜNTER H. ROTH: “Shareholder Value und Dividendenausschüttung” [Shareholder value<br />

and dividend distribution], in: P. KOSLOWSKI (ed.): Shareholder Value und die Kriterien des<br />

Unternehmenserfolgs, Heidelberg (Physica-Verlag) 1999, pp. 128–145.

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