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The Ethics of Banking: Conclusions from the Financial Crisis (Issues ...

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146 9 <strong>Financial</strong> Wagers, Hyper-Speculation and Shareholder Primacy<br />

<strong>The</strong> emphasis <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> shareholder-value approach, on <strong>the</strong> idea that shareholder<br />

value must be realized in each and every year, corresponds to <strong>the</strong> shorter timehorizon<br />

for reaping a return on investment that is characteristic <strong>of</strong> capitalist<br />

democratic societies. This shorter time horizon also seems desirable <strong>from</strong> an ethical<br />

perspective. Although prima facie it may seem counter-intuitive to prefer a shortterm<br />

strategy, because decision-makers are usually inclined toward short-termism<br />

in any case, and <strong>the</strong>refore everything that supports long-term investment seems to<br />

have a higher ethical value, it is rational to insist that investments pay returns in<br />

every period. <strong>The</strong> study <strong>of</strong> undemocratic, non-capitalist societies shows that <strong>the</strong><br />

population in <strong>the</strong>se societies has <strong>of</strong>ten been deceived into sacrificing welfare in <strong>the</strong><br />

here-and-now on <strong>the</strong> promise <strong>of</strong> a more prosperous future. One example was Stalin,<br />

who ordered <strong>the</strong> execution <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> engineers who told him that certain longer-term<br />

capital projects in nor<strong>the</strong>rn Russia or in Siberia could never be pr<strong>of</strong>itable. <strong>The</strong>ir<br />

predictions were not what he wanted to hear, so he opted to shoot <strong>the</strong> messenger.<br />

Leaving aside this tendency to demand and impose sacrifices for <strong>the</strong> future by<br />

means <strong>of</strong> cruelty and terror, <strong>the</strong> fact that long-termism causes losses is <strong>of</strong> interest<br />

with regard to <strong>the</strong> time-perspective <strong>of</strong> investments, <strong>the</strong> sacrifices that individuals are<br />

expected to make for <strong>the</strong>ir own investment, and <strong>the</strong> ethical relevance <strong>of</strong> this question.<br />

In a democratic, capitalist society, <strong>the</strong> population and investors calculate <strong>the</strong>ir<br />

expected returns on investment over a comparatively short time period. An investment<br />

that cannot prove its pr<strong>of</strong>itability in <strong>the</strong> short term will not find any takers.<br />

This recommendation justified by <strong>the</strong> shareholder-value criterion is not only economically<br />

efficient but also ethically legitimate for prosperous economies. Whe<strong>the</strong>r<br />

this judgment also applies to societies that are in <strong>the</strong> process <strong>of</strong> economic development<br />

and have to achieve higher savings rates is a question that must be left open<br />

for <strong>the</strong> time being.<br />

<strong>The</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r positive side-effect brought about by <strong>the</strong> shareholder-value criterion,<br />

via this compulsion to declare a dividend each and every year, is that it increases <strong>the</strong><br />

difficulty <strong>of</strong> building up a monopoly or market-dominating position in <strong>the</strong> given<br />

market. If <strong>the</strong> shareholders can compel <strong>the</strong> management to distribute dividends<br />

ra<strong>the</strong>r than accumulating pr<strong>of</strong>its within <strong>the</strong> company in <strong>the</strong> form <strong>of</strong> reserves or<br />

equity capital, <strong>the</strong>n <strong>the</strong> shareholders can spend <strong>the</strong>se pr<strong>of</strong>its on consumption or reinvest<br />

<strong>the</strong>m in <strong>the</strong> shares <strong>of</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r firms. Ei<strong>the</strong>r way, without retaining pr<strong>of</strong>its it will be<br />

more difficult for <strong>the</strong> firm to grow sufficiently to gain market dominance or control.

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