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A.II.II <strong>Europe</strong>an fuel price scenarios<br />

for nuclear fuels, crude oil and hard<br />

coal<br />

To determ<strong>in</strong>e the prices for nuclear fuel elements<br />

two scenarios were analysed: DG TREN Trends 2008<br />

and EWI/Prognos 2006 low price scenario. Both use<br />

the same prices per power station as displayed <strong>in</strong><br />

Figure 9.3. In general, it can be said that due to the<br />

FiGuRe 9.3: nucleaR Fuel elements pRice scenaRiOs (€/mwh)<br />

€/MWh<br />

3.90<br />

3.85<br />

3.80<br />

3.75<br />

3.70<br />

3.65<br />

3.60<br />

3.55<br />

51 ms= massive scenario, ss= slight scenario, lps= low price scenario, os= oil scenario, rs= reference scenario, hg= high growth.<br />

<strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report<br />

2010<br />

FiGuRe 9.4: cRude Oil pRice scenaRiOs (€/mwh)<br />

€/MWh<br />

70<br />

60<br />

50<br />

40<br />

30<br />

20<br />

10<br />

0<br />

2007<br />

2020<br />

DG Tren Trends 2008 EWI/ Prognos 2006 (lps)<br />

IEA 2008 (rs)<br />

IEA 2007 (hg)<br />

IEA 2007 (rs)<br />

2010<br />

2015<br />

EWI/ Prognos 2006 (rs)<br />

EWI/ Prognos 2006 (os)<br />

EWI/ Prognos 2006 (lps)<br />

world market trade of nuclear fuels the same price can<br />

be used for all <strong>Europe</strong>an countries.<br />

The prices of crude oil already differ significantly with<strong>in</strong><br />

each study analysed. Prices range from €60 per MWh<br />

to €25 per MWh <strong>in</strong> 2030. In most of the reviewed<br />

studies different price scenarios are given. To illustrate<br />

these variations, Figure 9.4 displays some of<br />

the analysed crude oil price scenarios. 51 The dena<br />

2020<br />

2025<br />

DG Tren 2008<br />

dena 2008<br />

BMU 2008 (ss)<br />

2030<br />

2030<br />

BMU 2008 (ms)<br />

109

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