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Towards an <strong>Offshore</strong> Grid – Further considerations<br />

5.1.3 Market challenges and<br />

f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

Economic barriers, due to market frictions or failures<br />

and unfavourable f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g conditions, h<strong>in</strong>der the <strong>in</strong>stallation<br />

of an offshore grid <strong>in</strong> many ways.<br />

F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g the large <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

As can be seen from the results of this report, the<br />

establishment of an offshore grid is go<strong>in</strong>g to be expensive.<br />

This is largely due to the large amounts of<br />

equipment required, but also to the high cost of both<br />

the equipment costs and the <strong>in</strong>stallation costs of this<br />

equipment <strong>in</strong> an offshore environment.<br />

The overall (calculated) benefits of an <strong>in</strong>ternational offshore<br />

grid from the system perspective cannot directly<br />

be returned to an <strong>in</strong>vestor. Still these huge <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

are needed. Therefore an <strong>in</strong>dication of long-term commitment<br />

and reliability <strong>in</strong> national offshore policies is<br />

needed to attract <strong>in</strong>vestors. Otherwise, <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

<strong>in</strong> onshore and offshore grid <strong>in</strong>frastructure will not be<br />

made <strong>in</strong> sufficient magnitude. In addition, it may be the<br />

case that publicly funded securities are needed to give<br />

a break-through for pioneer<strong>in</strong>g offshore <strong>in</strong>vestments.<br />

At the aggregate level, rais<strong>in</strong>g enough funds for an<br />

offshore grid is assessed by the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid consortium<br />

as a large challenge. The commission started to<br />

tackle the problem <strong>in</strong> the energy <strong>in</strong>frastructure package<br />

[23].<br />

Capital attraction<br />

The offshore <strong>in</strong>dustry faces ongo<strong>in</strong>g up-front f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />

problems for offshore w<strong>in</strong>d energy and grid projects<br />

due to the high risks that come along with it. Currently,<br />

the f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong>dustry spreads its risk conservatively<br />

due to <strong>in</strong>stability of credit markets and asks for high<br />

risk premiums.<br />

Fundrais<strong>in</strong>g for offshore projects is additionally h<strong>in</strong>dered<br />

by the long-term uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over offshore w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

farm development and the available locations for these<br />

projects. The risks of stranded <strong>in</strong>vestments rema<strong>in</strong><br />

comparatively high. Therefore, the barrier of capital<br />

attraction is assessed as large by the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid<br />

consortium.<br />

5.1.4 Supply cha<strong>in</strong><br />

There are relatively few manufacturers of some of<br />

the key elements that will be required to create an<br />

offshore grid, with correspond<strong>in</strong>gly few manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

facilities and hence elevated demand for few manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

slots. An expected <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> demand for<br />

these technologies both <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Europe</strong> and globally<br />

means that prices will rema<strong>in</strong> high and delivery<br />

times to projects constra<strong>in</strong>ed, unless the manufacturers<br />

have sufficient confidence <strong>in</strong> the market to justify<br />

<strong>in</strong>vestment to expand their manufactur<strong>in</strong>g base. This<br />

conundrum rema<strong>in</strong>s one of the key barriers to not only<br />

reduc<strong>in</strong>g the cost of <strong>in</strong>dividual components, but also<br />

to achiev<strong>in</strong>g an offshore grid <strong>in</strong> the North and Baltic<br />

Seas.<br />

Supply bottlenecks<br />

<strong>Offshore</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d energy is considered a cornerstone of<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>an energy policy, however it still needs development<br />

and experience is needed <strong>in</strong> order to reduce risk<br />

estimations for <strong>in</strong>vestments. The envisaged 150 GW<br />

of <strong>in</strong>stalled w<strong>in</strong>d capacity and the necessary transmission<br />

capacity needed to realise the proposed offshore<br />

grid design <strong>in</strong> 2030 is enormous, and the demand for<br />

equipment and tra<strong>in</strong>ed personnel along the supply<br />

cha<strong>in</strong> will be huge.<br />

Currently it is noticed that there are supply cha<strong>in</strong> bottlenecks<br />

for the ma<strong>in</strong> components of HVDC technology<br />

which can slow down the development of offshore<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d farm connections. For s<strong>in</strong>gular cases it might be<br />

necessary to fall back upon AC connection concepts<br />

until the supply cha<strong>in</strong> is fully able to deliver the requested<br />

equipment on time.<br />

Due to today’s uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, some supply cha<strong>in</strong><br />

manufacturers are hesitant to carry out the needed <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />

to meet future demand. Therefore there is<br />

a risk that supply cha<strong>in</strong> bottlenecks endanger cont<strong>in</strong>uous<br />

and steady development towards the envisaged<br />

efficient scenarios <strong>in</strong> 2030.<br />

86 <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report

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