Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...
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Towards an <strong>Offshore</strong> Grid – Further considerations<br />
5.1.3 Market challenges and<br />
f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
Economic barriers, due to market frictions or failures<br />
and unfavourable f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g conditions, h<strong>in</strong>der the <strong>in</strong>stallation<br />
of an offshore grid <strong>in</strong> many ways.<br />
F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g the large <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
As can be seen from the results of this report, the<br />
establishment of an offshore grid is go<strong>in</strong>g to be expensive.<br />
This is largely due to the large amounts of<br />
equipment required, but also to the high cost of both<br />
the equipment costs and the <strong>in</strong>stallation costs of this<br />
equipment <strong>in</strong> an offshore environment.<br />
The overall (calculated) benefits of an <strong>in</strong>ternational offshore<br />
grid from the system perspective cannot directly<br />
be returned to an <strong>in</strong>vestor. Still these huge <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
are needed. Therefore an <strong>in</strong>dication of long-term commitment<br />
and reliability <strong>in</strong> national offshore policies is<br />
needed to attract <strong>in</strong>vestors. Otherwise, <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
<strong>in</strong> onshore and offshore grid <strong>in</strong>frastructure will not be<br />
made <strong>in</strong> sufficient magnitude. In addition, it may be the<br />
case that publicly funded securities are needed to give<br />
a break-through for pioneer<strong>in</strong>g offshore <strong>in</strong>vestments.<br />
At the aggregate level, rais<strong>in</strong>g enough funds for an<br />
offshore grid is assessed by the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid consortium<br />
as a large challenge. The commission started to<br />
tackle the problem <strong>in</strong> the energy <strong>in</strong>frastructure package<br />
[23].<br />
Capital attraction<br />
The offshore <strong>in</strong>dustry faces ongo<strong>in</strong>g up-front f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g<br />
problems for offshore w<strong>in</strong>d energy and grid projects<br />
due to the high risks that come along with it. Currently,<br />
the f<strong>in</strong>ance <strong>in</strong>dustry spreads its risk conservatively<br />
due to <strong>in</strong>stability of credit markets and asks for high<br />
risk premiums.<br />
Fundrais<strong>in</strong>g for offshore projects is additionally h<strong>in</strong>dered<br />
by the long-term uncerta<strong>in</strong>ty over offshore w<strong>in</strong>d<br />
farm development and the available locations for these<br />
projects. The risks of stranded <strong>in</strong>vestments rema<strong>in</strong><br />
comparatively high. Therefore, the barrier of capital<br />
attraction is assessed as large by the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid<br />
consortium.<br />
5.1.4 Supply cha<strong>in</strong><br />
There are relatively few manufacturers of some of<br />
the key elements that will be required to create an<br />
offshore grid, with correspond<strong>in</strong>gly few manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
facilities and hence elevated demand for few manufactur<strong>in</strong>g<br />
slots. An expected <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> demand for<br />
these technologies both <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Europe</strong> and globally<br />
means that prices will rema<strong>in</strong> high and delivery<br />
times to projects constra<strong>in</strong>ed, unless the manufacturers<br />
have sufficient confidence <strong>in</strong> the market to justify<br />
<strong>in</strong>vestment to expand their manufactur<strong>in</strong>g base. This<br />
conundrum rema<strong>in</strong>s one of the key barriers to not only<br />
reduc<strong>in</strong>g the cost of <strong>in</strong>dividual components, but also<br />
to achiev<strong>in</strong>g an offshore grid <strong>in</strong> the North and Baltic<br />
Seas.<br />
Supply bottlenecks<br />
<strong>Offshore</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d energy is considered a cornerstone of<br />
<strong>Europe</strong>an energy policy, however it still needs development<br />
and experience is needed <strong>in</strong> order to reduce risk<br />
estimations for <strong>in</strong>vestments. The envisaged 150 GW<br />
of <strong>in</strong>stalled w<strong>in</strong>d capacity and the necessary transmission<br />
capacity needed to realise the proposed offshore<br />
grid design <strong>in</strong> 2030 is enormous, and the demand for<br />
equipment and tra<strong>in</strong>ed personnel along the supply<br />
cha<strong>in</strong> will be huge.<br />
Currently it is noticed that there are supply cha<strong>in</strong> bottlenecks<br />
for the ma<strong>in</strong> components of HVDC technology<br />
which can slow down the development of offshore<br />
w<strong>in</strong>d farm connections. For s<strong>in</strong>gular cases it might be<br />
necessary to fall back upon AC connection concepts<br />
until the supply cha<strong>in</strong> is fully able to deliver the requested<br />
equipment on time.<br />
Due to today’s uncerta<strong>in</strong>ties, some supply cha<strong>in</strong><br />
manufacturers are hesitant to carry out the needed <strong>in</strong>vestments<br />
to meet future demand. Therefore there is<br />
a risk that supply cha<strong>in</strong> bottlenecks endanger cont<strong>in</strong>uous<br />
and steady development towards the envisaged<br />
efficient scenarios <strong>in</strong> 2030.<br />
86 <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report