03.12.2012 Views

Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...

Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...

Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

Create successful ePaper yourself

Turn your PDF publications into a flip-book with our unique Google optimized e-Paper software.

Key Assumptions and Scenarios<br />

In this chapter the key assumptions and scenarios<br />

used for <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid modell<strong>in</strong>g purposes are described.<br />

This <strong>in</strong>cludes the assumptions on:<br />

• <strong>in</strong>stalled capacities of offshore w<strong>in</strong>d <strong>in</strong> Northern<br />

<strong>Europe</strong>,<br />

• electricity generation capacities,<br />

• electricity demand,<br />

• fuel and CO 2 prices.<br />

2.1 <strong>Offshore</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d development<br />

scenarios <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Europe</strong><br />

An important task <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid project was the<br />

development of offshore w<strong>in</strong>d power scenarios for the<br />

medium term (2020) and longer term (2030). They<br />

are ma<strong>in</strong>ly based on national government targets, on<br />

the latest EWEA offshore w<strong>in</strong>d development scenario<br />

[20] and on the onshore w<strong>in</strong>d power scenarios from<br />

TradeW<strong>in</strong>d [24] updated with new available <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />

Figure 2.1 and Figure 2.2 provide an overview<br />

FIGURE 2.1: INSTAllEd cAPAcITY OF OFFShORE WINd FARMS IN NORThERN EUROPE TO 2030, OFFShOREGRId ScENARIOS<br />

UK<br />

Germany<br />

Netherlands<br />

Sweden<br />

Norway<br />

Poland<br />

France<br />

Denmark<br />

Belgium<br />

Ireland<br />

F<strong>in</strong>land<br />

Estonia<br />

Lithuania<br />

Latvia<br />

Russia<br />

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45<br />

W<strong>in</strong>d farm capacity (GW)<br />

Installations 2021-2030 <strong>in</strong>stallations 2011-2020 Installed capacity, end 2010<br />

FIGURE 2.2: dISTRIbUTION OF INSTAllEd cAPAcITY PER SPEcIFIc MARINE AREA<br />

North Sea<br />

Baltic Sea<br />

Irish Sea<br />

English Channel<br />

Norwegian Sea<br />

Bay of Biscay<br />

Kattegat<br />

Atlantic (Ireland)<br />

Source: <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid scenarios<br />

0 10 20 30 40<br />

W<strong>in</strong>d farm capacity (GW)<br />

50 60 70 80<br />

Installations 2020-2030 Installations until 2020<br />

Source: <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid scenarios<br />

22 <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!