Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...
Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...
Offshore Electricity Infrastructure in Europe - European Wind Energy ...
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Key Assumptions and Scenarios<br />
In this chapter the key assumptions and scenarios<br />
used for <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid modell<strong>in</strong>g purposes are described.<br />
This <strong>in</strong>cludes the assumptions on:<br />
• <strong>in</strong>stalled capacities of offshore w<strong>in</strong>d <strong>in</strong> Northern<br />
<strong>Europe</strong>,<br />
• electricity generation capacities,<br />
• electricity demand,<br />
• fuel and CO 2 prices.<br />
2.1 <strong>Offshore</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d development<br />
scenarios <strong>in</strong> Northern <strong>Europe</strong><br />
An important task <strong>in</strong> the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid project was the<br />
development of offshore w<strong>in</strong>d power scenarios for the<br />
medium term (2020) and longer term (2030). They<br />
are ma<strong>in</strong>ly based on national government targets, on<br />
the latest EWEA offshore w<strong>in</strong>d development scenario<br />
[20] and on the onshore w<strong>in</strong>d power scenarios from<br />
TradeW<strong>in</strong>d [24] updated with new available <strong>in</strong>formation.<br />
Figure 2.1 and Figure 2.2 provide an overview<br />
FIGURE 2.1: INSTAllEd cAPAcITY OF OFFShORE WINd FARMS IN NORThERN EUROPE TO 2030, OFFShOREGRId ScENARIOS<br />
UK<br />
Germany<br />
Netherlands<br />
Sweden<br />
Norway<br />
Poland<br />
France<br />
Denmark<br />
Belgium<br />
Ireland<br />
F<strong>in</strong>land<br />
Estonia<br />
Lithuania<br />
Latvia<br />
Russia<br />
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45<br />
W<strong>in</strong>d farm capacity (GW)<br />
Installations 2021-2030 <strong>in</strong>stallations 2011-2020 Installed capacity, end 2010<br />
FIGURE 2.2: dISTRIbUTION OF INSTAllEd cAPAcITY PER SPEcIFIc MARINE AREA<br />
North Sea<br />
Baltic Sea<br />
Irish Sea<br />
English Channel<br />
Norwegian Sea<br />
Bay of Biscay<br />
Kattegat<br />
Atlantic (Ireland)<br />
Source: <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid scenarios<br />
0 10 20 30 40<br />
W<strong>in</strong>d farm capacity (GW)<br />
50 60 70 80<br />
Installations 2020-2030 Installations until 2020<br />
Source: <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid scenarios<br />
22 <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report