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Annex d – details of results<br />

D.I W<strong>in</strong>d output statistics<br />

D.I.I Spatial smooth<strong>in</strong>g of<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d power<br />

There are several techno-economic benefits directly<br />

l<strong>in</strong>ked to an offshore grid as outl<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>troduction.<br />

One of these benefits is the additional<br />

<strong>in</strong>terconnection of w<strong>in</strong>d energy generation centres<br />

across <strong>Europe</strong> which smoothes the w<strong>in</strong>d energy variability<br />

towards a more steady generation profile. This<br />

issue was already studied by the TradeW<strong>in</strong>d study and<br />

was further elaborated with<strong>in</strong> <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid as more<br />

accurate w<strong>in</strong>d power time series were available.<br />

This smooth<strong>in</strong>g effect is illustrated <strong>in</strong> Figure 13.1,<br />

display<strong>in</strong>g the gradients for three different sizes of<br />

regions <strong>in</strong> Denmark (a gradient is the percentage by<br />

which power goes up or down <strong>in</strong> one hour, or % fluctuation<br />

<strong>in</strong> an hour). It can clearly be seen that the<br />

gradient, or fluctuation <strong>in</strong> w<strong>in</strong>d power, is much less<br />

when look<strong>in</strong>g at a large region such as the whole of<br />

Denmark, when compared to the gradient of just one<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d farm.<br />

The effect is even more pronounced when aggregat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

on a <strong>Europe</strong>an level, as shown <strong>in</strong> Figure 13.2.<br />

Whereas offshore EU w<strong>in</strong>d power still exhibits hourly<br />

gradients of 8% dur<strong>in</strong>g a noticeable time per year, total<br />

EU w<strong>in</strong>d power (onshore plus offshore) hardly shows<br />

hourly gradients <strong>in</strong> excess of 5%.<br />

The smooth<strong>in</strong>g effect on w<strong>in</strong>d variability is clearly visible<br />

<strong>in</strong> Figure 13.3 where it is clearly shown that the<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d power generation of the <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid 2030 scenario<br />

across a large area as EU27 (<strong>in</strong>cl. Norway and<br />

Switzerland) exhibits a significantly lower variability<br />

compared to the w<strong>in</strong>d power generated <strong>in</strong> e.g. Belgium<br />

alone.<br />

A way of represent<strong>in</strong>g the beneficial effect of aggregation<br />

at power system scale is by plott<strong>in</strong>g the load<br />

duration curve of w<strong>in</strong>d power plants. This is a graph<br />

which shows how many hours the power plant is operat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

above a certa<strong>in</strong> power output. Examples for a<br />

s<strong>in</strong>gle w<strong>in</strong>d turb<strong>in</strong>e, a small country (Belgium) and the<br />

whole of the EU are given <strong>in</strong> Figure 13.4. Aggregat<strong>in</strong>g<br />

w<strong>in</strong>d power flattens the load duration curve. A s<strong>in</strong>gle<br />

offshore turb<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> this example produces rated<br />

(100%) power for 1,500 hours and zero power dur<strong>in</strong>g<br />

FiGuRe 13.1: FRequency OF Relative pOweR chanGes <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>teRvals OF One hOuR FOR a s<strong>in</strong>Gle danish OFFshORe w<strong>in</strong>d<br />

FaRm, 25 danish OFFshORe w<strong>in</strong>d FaRms expected <strong>in</strong> 2030 and all w<strong>in</strong>d FaRms (On&OFFshORe) that aRe expected <strong>in</strong><br />

denmaRk <strong>in</strong> 2030. a pOsitive value ReFlects an <strong>in</strong>cRease <strong>in</strong> pOweR and a neGative value a decRease<br />

Occurence<br />

(hours per year)<br />

6,000<br />

5,000<br />

4,000<br />

3,000<br />

2,000<br />

1,000<br />

0<br />

-20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20<br />

Total Danish w<strong>in</strong>d power 25 Danish offshore w<strong>in</strong>d parks 1 Danish offshore park<br />

128 <strong>Offshore</strong>Grid – F<strong>in</strong>al Report

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