BEYOND SYRIA IRAQ

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CONTRIBUTORS Institute and the research manager for AEI’s Critical Threats Project. As senior analyst on al-Qaeda, she studies how the terrorist network operates globally, including AQ affiliates in the Gulf of Aden region and in western and northern Africa. xii
BEYOND IRAQ AND SYRIA Executive Summary IN EARLY JUNE 2016,the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL had built considerable momentum in the fight against the IS “core” in Syria and Iraq. Since its height in 2014, IS had lost almost half the territory it had previously controlled in Iraq and 20 percent of its holdings in Syria. During the week of June 9, coalition military forces began isolating Mosul by advancing into nearby villages. In Syria, fighting reached the Mari line, and a twoline offensive—Sunni opposition and the Kurdish People’s Defense Units (YPG)—began to encircle Manbij. In addition to coalition advances in Iraq and Syria, early June 2016 saw increased activity against some Islamic State provinces. In particular, great concern had arisen about the ability of Islamic State Libya to replicate the strengths of IS core, based on a steady stream of seasoned jihadists from Syria and Iraq, access to substantial resources, and the presence of a large, ungoverned space. As a result, IS Libya came under military pressure from forces loyal to the Government of National Accord. Having lost Darnah in late 2015, it was attacked in its stronghold of Sirte by brigades made up primarily of fighters from Misratah, who drove back IS militants and captured crucial points along the city’s edge. Provinces elsewhere were also under pressure. In Egypt, the military continued its campaign against IS in Sinai. In the Lake Chad basin, Boko Haram lost a considerable amount of the territory it controlled as a result of operations by the Multinational Joint Task Force. Ideological rifts emerged within the leadership of the IS provinces in Yemen and sandbagged statebuilding efforts, and the Saudi and Algeria provinces existed only on paper and as a terrorist threat. xiii
Page 1: BEYOND SYRIA IRAQ AND EXAMINING ISL
Page 4 and 5: The opinions expressed in this Poli
Page 6 and 7: CONTENTS LOCAL POPULAR SUPPORT FOR
Page 9 and 10: About the Workshop The crusaders an
Page 11 and 12: BEYOND IRAQ AND SYRIA Contributors
Page 13: CONTRIBUTORS rity (SEMERS), General
Page 17 and 18: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY been very limited
Page 19 and 20: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY grow out of preex
Page 21 and 22: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY countries, Adnani
Page 23: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY after it declared
Page 26 and 27: MATTHEW LEVITT EVOLVING PERCEPTION
Page 28 and 29: MATTHEW LEVITT rounding coastline.
Page 30 and 31: MATTHEW LEVITT Institute as a cente
Page 32 and 33: MOHAMED ELJARH the fighting in Syri
Page 34 and 35: MOHAMED ELJARH ■ IS in Sirte The
Page 36 and 37: PROVINCE TIES TO THE ISLAMIC STATE
Page 38 and 39: MOKHTAR AWAD no Mumbai-style attack
Page 40 and 41: MOKHTAR AWAD operated mainland netw
Page 44 and 45: AARON Y. ZELIN toward a bus carryin
Page 46 and 47: AARON Y. ZELIN more space and legit
Page 50 and 51: KATHERINE ZIMMERMAN IS leadership i
Page 52 and 53: KATHERINE ZIMMERMAN NOTES 1. SITE I
Page 54 and 55: WHAT MAKES THE PROVINCES TICK? Gove
Page 56 and 57: AYMENN AL TAMIMI Bahrain)—one can
Page 58 and 59: AYMENN AL TAMIMI was destroyed, how
Page 60 and 61: WHAT MAKES THE PROVINCES TICK? Ideo
Page 62 and 63: COLE BUNZEL ISLAMIC STATE IDEOLOGY
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COLE BUNZEL establish a global cali
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JEAN-FRANCOIS PACTET Officials have
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WHAT MAKES THE PROVINCES TICK? Fina
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KATHERINE BAUER To date, financial
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KATHERINE BAUER area from which the
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LOCAL POPULAR SUPPORT FOR THE ISLAM
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DAVEED GARTENSTEIN-ROSS itself thro
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DAVEED GARTENSTEIN-ROSS sula (AQAP)
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DAVEED GARTENSTEIN-ROSS as five hun
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DAVEED GARTENSTEIN-ROSS 10. Posted
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DAVID POLLOCK Ramadi, or Fallujah o
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DAVID POLLOCK reasoned analysis by
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MUHAMED SABRY army’s previous lac
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MUHAMED SABRY revolution and thrive
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JACK GAINES Keeping the military an
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JACK GAINES • As described in th
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ANNA BORSHCHEVSKAYA THE CAUCASUS AN
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ANNA BORSHCHEVSKAYA and deportation
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ANNA BORSHCHEVSKAYA They feel he wa
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AS AN IDEA, THE ISLAMIC STATE HAS,
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BEYOND SYRIA IRAQ

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